{ "ticker": { "uuid": "16b697ff-3f48-4cc0-a181-5eb025df4f49", "symbol": "HVT", "name": "Haverty Furniture Companies Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.163, "architecture_energy": 66.654, "architecture_maturity": 20.564, "architecture_confidence": 81.061, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.52, "rotation_up": 70.71, "upward_expansion": 84.61, "deceleration": 50.46, "rotation_down": 13.68, "downward_expansion": 11.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.34, 25.693636, 24.411417, 23.83153 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 29.09, "trend_reference": 23.611161, "distance_from_trend": 0.232044, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.387688, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.243817, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.344298, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.096884, "excess_performance": -0.028741, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.232044, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030252, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.243817, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.310864, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.133443, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.236274, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.096884, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.162507, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1062628, "relative_activity": 2.011441, "balance": 2.162507, "dry_up": 1.197111, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066303, "annualized_volatility": 0.385488, "from_high_reference": -0.019052, "from_low_reference": 0.526633 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.611161, "fair_value_reference": 23.387688, "structural_low": 19.812981, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.008508, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.018848, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.123506, "worst_return": -0.121582, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.037411, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.020872, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.179255, "worst_return": -0.271947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.14144, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.207495, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.151765, "worst_return": -0.210348, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 25.014667, 24.155576, 23.154264, 23.141459 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.63, "volume": 548674, "typical_volume": 544255.6, "trend": 23.370951, "fair_value": 23.429198, "relative_strength": 4.440534, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.798384, "energy": 61.504725, "activity_lines": [ 25.294667, 24.563475, 23.446344, 23.291616 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.91, "volume": 435729, "typical_volume": 543123.05, "trend": 23.421172, "fair_value": 23.401567, "relative_strength": 2.010115, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.074205, "energy": 41.555019, "activity_lines": [ 25.208, 24.772338, 23.657909, 23.39091 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.64, "volume": 482666, "typical_volume": 531707.85, "trend": 23.479225, "fair_value": 23.380204, "relative_strength": -0.284631, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.18001, "energy": 29.654159, "activity_lines": [ 24.993333, 24.852161, 23.831036, 23.469544 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.09, "volume": 1062628, "typical_volume": 528291.9, "trend": 23.611161, "fair_value": 23.387688, "relative_strength": 13.344298, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.162765, "energy": 66.654024, "activity_lines": [ 26.34, 25.693636, 24.411417, 23.83153 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }