{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "16ba4ffb-d2c7-4f82-8f18-a3cd3d95dfe0",
    "symbol": "H1OG34",
    "name": "Harley-Davidson, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 87.585,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.804,
    "architecture_energy": 65.42,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.734,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.488,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.21,
        "rotation_up": 62.71,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 59.95,
        "rotation_down": 21.66,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        136.713337,
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        123.342993
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 135.100006,
    "trend_reference": 116.265024,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.162,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 151.859754,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.110363,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.57158,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.275453,
    "excess_performance": 0.332501,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.162,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031896,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.110363,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133238,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025716,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.250394,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.275453,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.251639,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3,
      "relative_activity": 0.014811,
      "balance": 1.251639,
      "dry_up": 0.255492,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039826,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.300439,
      "from_high_reference": -0.185645,
      "from_low_reference": 0.496953
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 116.265024,
      "fair_value_reference": 151.859754,
      "structural_low": 90.25,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.012825,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006279,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.171247,
        "worst_return": -0.183176,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "worst_return": -0.408964,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "volume": 71,
        "typical_volume": 414.65,
        "trend": 115.534227,
        "fair_value": 154.721571,
        "relative_strength": -24.361649,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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        "direction": 14.185163,
        "energy": 39.952562,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 114.778958,
        "fair_value": 154.461773,
        "relative_strength": -22.467785,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
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        "direction": 30.804447,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 410.55,
        "trend": 114.234522,
        "fair_value": 154.281571,
        "relative_strength": -11.708896,
        "stage": 1,
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        "energy": 77.599365,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 465.5,
        "trend": 113.423226,
        "fair_value": 154.047073,
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        "stage": 1,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 511.65,
        "trend": 112.671271,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 112.261946,
        "fair_value": 153.633088,
        "relative_strength": -8.310266,
        "stage": 1,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 49.691419,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 511.3,
        "trend": 111.962601,
        "fair_value": 153.441608,
        "relative_strength": -6.515474,
        "stage": 1,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -1.171647,
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        "energy": 79.024998,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 112.498538,
        "fair_value": 153.130888,
        "relative_strength": -2.398204,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 80.847541,
        "energy": 89.577839,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 196.5,
        "trend": 112.62146,
        "fair_value": 152.927811,
        "relative_strength": -4.220087,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 69.064804,
        "energy": 85.568463,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 131.039993,
        "volume": 116,
        "typical_volume": 200.75,
        "trend": 113.123747,
        "fair_value": 152.712111,
        "relative_strength": -5.318315,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.461376,
        "energy": 85.780361,
        "activity_lines": [
          131.092665,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 136.0,
        "volume": 195,
        "typical_volume": 208.75,
        "trend": 113.768862,
        "fair_value": 152.475144,
        "relative_strength": 1.079288,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.636932,
        "energy": 89.22525,
        "activity_lines": [
          132.897332,
          130.20965,
          124.271951,
          118.885202
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 138.880005,
        "volume": 9,
        "typical_volume": 206.6,
        "trend": 114.53844,
        "fair_value": 152.243692,
        "relative_strength": 3.517128,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.482385,
        "energy": 86.482782,
        "activity_lines": [
          135.045334,
          132.18332,
          126.334275,
          120.505275
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 138.880005,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 204.6,
        "trend": 115.456955,
        "fair_value": 152.025064,
        "relative_strength": 1.761338,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.241816,
        "energy": 87.900433,
        "activity_lines": [
          136.705336,
          133.94729,
          128.170362,
          122.075699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 135.100006,
        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 202.55,
        "trend": 116.265024,
        "fair_value": 151.859754,
        "relative_strength": 2.57158,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.803911,
        "energy": 65.419786,
        "activity_lines": [
          136.713337,
          134.668729,
          129.435353,
          123.342993
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}