{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "16ca7c98-6fa8-40eb-a267-c0524103c361",
    "symbol": "SW2CHA",
    "name": "UBS MSCI Switzerland 20/35 UCITS ETF CHF dis",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.031,
    "architecture_energy": 72.314,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.078,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.283,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.2,
        "rotation_up": 69.68,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 62.08,
        "rotation_down": 22.14,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.221334,
        27.011819,
        26.349119,
        25.876118
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 27.565001,
    "trend_reference": 25.407167,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.08493,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 22.433817,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.228725,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.36258,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.099521,
    "excess_performance": 0.016638,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08493,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036498,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.228725,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098811,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013626,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001725,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099521,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 6.902795,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 30149,
      "relative_activity": 0.410892,
      "balance": 6.902795,
      "dry_up": 0.546947,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016855,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.152112,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004155,
      "from_low_reference": 0.24447
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.407167,
      "fair_value_reference": 22.433817,
      "structural_low": 22.559999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.004549,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000942,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.045641,
        "worst_return": -0.061921,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.042058,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
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        "worst_return": -0.124718,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.0751,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 21.91093,
        "relative_strength": 1.160187,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 1.284203,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 93726.85,
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        "relative_strength": 1.316916,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 22.255935,
        "relative_strength": 1.265116,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 75.887932,
        "energy": 91.131807,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 47656,
        "typical_volume": 86133.7,
        "trend": 25.155333,
        "fair_value": 22.299379,
        "relative_strength": 1.020716,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.139316,
        "energy": 90.942506,
        "activity_lines": [
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          25.820214,
          25.491978
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 26.985001,
        "volume": 31041,
        "typical_volume": 83924.4,
        "trend": 25.236,
        "fair_value": 22.340364,
        "relative_strength": 0.784446,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.228528,
        "energy": 87.554223,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.027334,
          26.680818,
          25.987595,
          25.610022
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.115,
        "volume": 51682,
        "typical_volume": 77903.15,
        "trend": 25.3195,
        "fair_value": 22.385978,
        "relative_strength": 1.122148,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.436871,
        "energy": 67.530918,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.059667,
          26.820455,
          26.154,
          25.731247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 27.565001,
        "volume": 30149,
        "typical_volume": 73374.6,
        "trend": 25.407167,
        "fair_value": 22.433817,
        "relative_strength": 1.36258,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.030958,
        "energy": 72.314045,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.221334,
          27.011819,
          26.349119,
          25.876118
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}