{ "ticker": { "uuid": "16d72196-9ed5-4126-86d2-9c23bc88479e", "symbol": "BNT", "name": "Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 54.915, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -14.65, "architecture_energy": 14.794, "architecture_maturity": 28.925, "architecture_confidence": 45.066, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.46, "rotation_up": 23.56, "upward_expansion": 15.12, "deceleration": 50.74, "rotation_down": 47.73, "downward_expansion": 43.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 61.221333, 61.464141, 61.849191, 61.478366 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 62.189999, "trend_reference": 61.479248, "distance_from_trend": 0.011561, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 65.821249, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.055168, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.189342, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.004266, "excess_performance": -0.116155, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.011561, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011549, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.055168, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0544, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.181893, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044479, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.004266, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.072562, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 120300, "relative_activity": 0.518389, "balance": 2.072562, "dry_up": 1.00349, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04046, "annualized_volatility": 0.228115, "from_high_reference": -0.391853, "from_low_reference": 0.128061 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 61.479248, "fair_value_reference": 65.821249, "structural_low": 55.130001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.018734, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.00478, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.133843, "worst_return": -0.034048, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.066789, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.024956, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.193066, "worst_return": -0.050958, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.002064, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.104689, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.187191, "worst_return": -0.191318, "sufficient": false }, 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61.990133, 62.312826, 61.848081, 61.678672 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 61.23, "volume": 244700, "typical_volume": 274730.0, "trend": 61.899283, "fair_value": 65.510096, "relative_strength": -20.375642, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.806027, "energy": 11.40887, "activity_lines": [ 61.625333, 62.063472, 61.881599, 61.633245 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.060001, "volume": 320100, "typical_volume": 281335.0, "trend": 61.769536, "fair_value": 65.605631, "relative_strength": -20.971241, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.259016, "energy": 20.414793, "activity_lines": [ 61.001334, 61.655763, 61.800442, 61.514581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 60.669998, "volume": 246400, "typical_volume": 279170.0, "trend": 61.651803, "fair_value": 65.716213, "relative_strength": -18.684083, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.464039, "energy": 24.723225, "activity_lines": [ 60.855333, 61.403744, 61.764063, 61.443643 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 62.189999, "volume": 120300, "typical_volume": 232065.0, "trend": 61.479248, "fair_value": 65.821249, "relative_strength": -18.189342, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.649589, "energy": 14.794296, "activity_lines": [ 61.221333, 61.464141, 61.849191, 61.478366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }