{ "ticker": { "uuid": "16f5497a-76c4-444e-be31-32e5766218c4", "symbol": "114820", "name": "Mirae Asset TIGER KTB 3 ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 54.703, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 31.016, "architecture_energy": 30.477, "architecture_maturity": 12.391, "architecture_confidence": 55.185, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.84, "rotation_up": 55.51, "upward_expansion": 45.73, "deceleration": 24.35, "rotation_down": 21.48, "downward_expansion": 20.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 104892.0, 104789.272727, 104657.52381, 104669.494624 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 105225.0, "trend_reference": 104713.5, "distance_from_trend": 0.004885, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 102927.852364, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.022318, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.537627, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.005735, "excess_performance": -0.224094, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.004885, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000893, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.022318, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000266, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.215376, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.26558, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.005735, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.519243, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42903, "relative_activity": 0.85532, "balance": 1.519243, "dry_up": 0.765862, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.004258, "annualized_volatility": 0.023063, "from_high_reference": -0.020568, "from_low_reference": 0.0234 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 104713.5, "fair_value_reference": 102927.852364, "structural_low": 103965.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.000332, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": 0.02246, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.013436, "worst_return": -0.012328, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.001247, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006646, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.023831, "worst_return": -0.013823, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.005077, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.026311, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.024813, "worst_return": -0.017185, "sufficient": 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104606.818182, 104575.071429, 104640.182796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 104340.0, "volume": 41825, "typical_volume": 53569.55, "trend": 104712.833333, "fair_value": 102827.263372, "relative_strength": -29.378099, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.943233, "energy": 12.079221, "activity_lines": [ 104591.333333, 104578.909091, 104550.261905, 104614.634409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 105050.0, "volume": 50910, "typical_volume": 51501.5, "trend": 104711.833333, "fair_value": 102877.455379, "relative_strength": -26.72897, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.510458, "energy": 15.436899, "activity_lines": [ 104720.333333, 104674.818182, 104596.333333, 104636.387097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 105225.0, "volume": 42903, "typical_volume": 50160.15, "trend": 104713.5, "fair_value": 102927.852364, "relative_strength": -21.537627, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.016202, "energy": 30.476634, "activity_lines": [ 104892.0, 104789.272727, 104657.52381, 104669.494624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }