{ "ticker": { "uuid": "170cc742-6190-4a0b-a059-0bae56059f1e", "symbol": "AOK", "name": "ISHARES CORE 30/70 CONSERVATIVE ALLOCATION ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 81.892, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.337, "architecture_energy": 24.455, "architecture_maturity": 58.504, "architecture_confidence": 78.036, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.37, "rotation_up": 33.26, "upward_expansion": 56.65, "deceleration": 85.71, "rotation_down": 28.23, "downward_expansion": 20.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.037934, 41.058523, 40.992162, 40.809275 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 41.43, "trend_reference": 40.616762, "distance_from_trend": 0.020022, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.533776, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.134019, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.902064, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.024602, "excess_performance": -0.101023, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.020022, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011212, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.134019, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01399, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.079021, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010504, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.024602, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.54854, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 609827, "relative_activity": 0.702315, "balance": 1.54854, "dry_up": 0.8565, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010986, "annualized_volatility": 0.068519, "from_high_reference": -0.002408, "from_low_reference": 0.086328 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.616762, "fair_value_reference": 36.533776, "structural_low": 39.047616, 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"direction": 55.737305, "energy": 44.825628, "activity_lines": [ 41.169272, 41.106665, 40.860779, 40.693576 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 40.955668, "volume": 612814, "typical_volume": 938547.75, "trend": 40.518818, "fair_value": 36.361652, "relative_strength": -5.886728, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.405354, "energy": 32.093123, "activity_lines": [ 41.094737, 41.089784, 40.894518, 40.724397 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.686222, "volume": 1045192, "typical_volume": 935080.05, "trend": 40.542857, "fair_value": 36.415247, "relative_strength": -5.786707, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.406571, "energy": 18.142279, "activity_lines": [ 40.941274, 41.025879, 40.902336, 40.735197 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.835914, "volume": 706995, "typical_volume": 886342.65, "trend": 40.574853, "fair_value": 36.47214, "relative_strength": -6.252665, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.39693, "energy": 17.930055, "activity_lines": [ 40.881154, 40.987747, 40.921787, 40.754104 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.43, "volume": 609827, "typical_volume": 868309.55, "trend": 40.616762, "fair_value": 36.533776, "relative_strength": -7.902064, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.336668, "energy": 24.455464, "activity_lines": [ 41.037934, 41.058523, 40.992162, 40.809275 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }