{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "172cf9bc-f6dd-4cf3-aa00-8490bb23d6b3",
    "symbol": "SPP1",
    "name": "State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World EUR Hdg UCITS ETF (Acc)",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.913,
    "architecture_energy": 54.467,
    "architecture_maturity": 76.825,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.128,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.09,
        "rotation_up": 48.8,
        "upward_expansion": 79.27,
        "deceleration": 70.93,
        "rotation_down": 28.55,
        "downward_expansion": 8.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.616,
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        26.276809,
        25.796688
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 27.205,
    "trend_reference": 25.2535,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.077276,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.79216,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.308426,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.122494,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.114274,
    "excess_performance": 0.049634,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077276,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038299,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.308426,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009752,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031225,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074664,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114274,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.226619,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 141315,
      "relative_activity": 0.829459,
      "balance": 3.226619,
      "dry_up": 0.906841,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019863,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.130221,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002566,
      "from_low_reference": 0.233787
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.2535,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.79216,
      "structural_low": 22.715,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.008512,
        "positive_rate": 0.675,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.675,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00686,
        "regime_survival": 0.775,
        "best_return": 0.055843,
        "worst_return": -0.0763,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.030299,
        "positive_rate": 0.866667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.866667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004079,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.074832,
        "worst_return": -0.03826,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.058597,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.032563,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.144057,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.105558,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.045708,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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      },
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": 0.007419,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": 8.171522,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 26.280001,
        "volume": 163252,
        "typical_volume": 205601.85,
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        "fair_value": 20.595763,
        "relative_strength": 6.330032,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 62.847654,
        "energy": 56.916473,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.477,
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          25.948714,
          25.504258
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 26.32,
        "volume": 155857,
        "typical_volume": 196915.95,
        "trend": 25.083333,
        "fair_value": 20.65784,
        "relative_strength": 5.072569,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.365787,
        "energy": 48.773035,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.418667,
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          26.044024,
          25.589183
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 26.254999,
        "volume": 157570,
        "typical_volume": 185773.05,
        "trend": 25.160333,
        "fair_value": 20.721295,
        "relative_strength": 2.43919,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.368389,
        "energy": 39.120721,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.36,
          26.399636,
          26.121429,
          25.664774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 27.205,
        "volume": 141315,
        "typical_volume": 170370.05,
        "trend": 25.2535,
        "fair_value": 20.79216,
        "relative_strength": 3.122494,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.913031,
        "energy": 54.467234,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.616,
          26.543,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}