{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "172ef4e5-acd8-4d01-a2da-74d306a36a24",
    "symbol": "ADT",
    "name": "ADT Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 69.946,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 50.299,
    "architecture_energy": 63.53,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.32,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.344,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.5,
        "rotation_up": 72.85,
        "upward_expansion": 59.13,
        "deceleration": 25.12,
        "rotation_down": 16.14,
        "downward_expansion": 19.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.372667,
        7.100452,
        6.972349,
        6.962222
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 7.64,
    "trend_reference": 7.080642,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.078998,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 7.0536,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.083135,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -10.557019,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.037307,
    "excess_performance": -0.162932,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078998,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047366,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083135,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102784,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.10557,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128682,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037307,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.303632,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 47216887,
      "relative_activity": 0.988656,
      "balance": 1.303632,
      "dry_up": 0.847315,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049537,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.396007,
      "from_high_reference": -0.124624,
      "from_low_reference": 0.243029
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.080642,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.0536,
      "structural_low": 6.146277,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.01697,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.064968,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.01697,
        "worst_return": 0.01697,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.113791,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.176867,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.113791,
        "worst_return": 0.113791,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.015132,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.051344,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.015132,
        "worst_return": 0.015132,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.191232,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.251859,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.191232,
        "worst_return": -0.191232,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.032994,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.090217,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.031436,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.036603,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.058224,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008021,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.091957,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004745,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.0115,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.083527,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.006659,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
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        "return": -0.111344,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.085227,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
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        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -27.43244,
        "energy": 16.531757,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 49101753.75,
        "trend": 7.104314,
        "fair_value": 7.031465,
        "relative_strength": -14.638751,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": -15.420173,
        "energy": 14.149814,
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          6.892,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.64,
        "volume": 46962666,
        "typical_volume": 48248425.15,
        "trend": 7.096411,
        "fair_value": 7.04315,
        "relative_strength": -7.91179,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.510199,
        "energy": 34.367219,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.174,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.64,
        "volume": 47216887,
        "typical_volume": 47758664.75,
        "trend": 7.080642,
        "fair_value": 7.0536,
        "relative_strength": -10.557019,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 50.299065,
        "energy": 63.529931,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}