{ "ticker": { "uuid": "17329e16-945c-4d4e-858b-c33de2669fc8", "symbol": "001202", "name": "Jushen Logistics Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.556, "architecture_energy": 54.953, "architecture_maturity": 48.208, "architecture_confidence": 91.004, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.57, "rotation_up": 18.44, "upward_expansion": 8.61, "deceleration": 59.5, "rotation_down": 62.1, "downward_expansion": 81.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.174667, 13.522727, 14.483428, 15.22686 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.02, "trend_reference": 16.180333, "distance_from_trend": -0.195319, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.69498, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.025602, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.318409, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.25344, "excess_performance": -0.26084, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.195319, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040881, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.025602, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.379837, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.213184, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127311, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.25344, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.149209, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16006973, "relative_activity": 1.680568, "balance": 0.149209, "dry_up": 2.229159, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099905, "annualized_volatility": 0.317869, "from_high_reference": -0.465956, "from_low_reference": 0.071605 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.180333, "fair_value_reference": 12.69498, "structural_low": 12.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.021008, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": 0.029015, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.127239, "worst_return": -0.148289, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.047763, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.043339, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.338874, "worst_return": -0.161361, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.098236, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.041981, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.313019, "worst_return": -0.151766, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -19.834743, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.452307, "energy": 81.808588, "activity_lines": [ 14.016, 14.543818, 15.470619, 16.042215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.8, "volume": 13190831, "typical_volume": 7854520.9, "trend": 16.440666, "fair_value": 12.664248, "relative_strength": -14.112867, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.731187, "energy": 65.860802, "activity_lines": [ 13.936667, 14.294182, 15.244381, 15.868774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.79, "volume": 28923096, "typical_volume": 8462218.9, "trend": 16.384, "fair_value": 12.680276, "relative_strength": -14.291685, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.226573, "energy": 50.297022, "activity_lines": [ 13.896, 14.108909, 15.03919, 15.697763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.34, "volume": 26807730, "typical_volume": 9224447.95, "trend": 16.275, "fair_value": 12.685809, "relative_strength": -21.809619, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.4752, "energy": 59.90778, "activity_lines": [ 13.397333, 13.714727, 14.716095, 15.43686 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.02, "volume": 16006973, "typical_volume": 9524737.7, "trend": 16.180333, "fair_value": 12.69498, "relative_strength": -21.318409, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.555603, "energy": 54.953487, "activity_lines": [ 13.174667, 13.522727, 14.483428, 15.22686 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }