{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "173eed34-5867-4fed-9f70-78cc45d75c47",
    "symbol": "ZDV",
    "name": "BMO Canadian Dividend ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.545,
    "architecture_energy": 70.334,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.482,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.778,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.94,
        "rotation_up": 72.57,
        "upward_expansion": 90.0,
        "deceleration": 52.89,
        "rotation_down": 20.67,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        33.149911,
        32.871688,
        32.295403,
        31.669591
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 33.27,
    "trend_reference": 30.780175,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.080891,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.890262,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.392618,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.112401,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.162171,
    "excess_performance": 0.04175,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080891,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051747,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.392618,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037855,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011124,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01095,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.162171,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.779818,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 196300,
      "relative_activity": 1.001582,
      "balance": 2.779818,
      "dry_up": 1.234247,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014419,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.0912,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002997,
      "from_low_reference": 0.328515
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 30.780175,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.890262,
      "structural_low": 28.617545,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
        "median_return": 0.016263,
        "positive_rate": 0.704545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.704545,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001181,
        "regime_survival": 0.818182,
        "best_return": 0.059989,
        "worst_return": -0.047785,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.048852,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012045,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.090708,
        "worst_return": -0.112176,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.091343,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007105,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.141232,
        "worst_return": -0.031643,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006855,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.245475,
        "worst_return": 0.011188,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2023-09-29",
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        "return": -0.050017,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.070696,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "typical_volume": 257042.5,
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        "relative_strength": -1.899611,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.330753,
        "energy": 74.310429,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": 0.276863,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 270328.3,
        "trend": 28.828734,
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        "relative_strength": 0.017354,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 274447.4,
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        "relative_strength": 2.109848,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "fair_value": 22.88519,
        "relative_strength": 2.71112,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 23.058976,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 29.561002,
        "fair_value": 23.149698,
        "relative_strength": 2.660512,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 29.838524,
        "fair_value": 23.332045,
        "relative_strength": 2.006559,
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        "direction": 69.530878,
        "energy": 87.569343,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 201205.0,
        "trend": 29.968153,
        "fair_value": 23.423073,
        "relative_strength": 1.654775,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 32.565907,
        "volume": 267400,
        "typical_volume": 204820.0,
        "trend": 30.09809,
        "fair_value": 23.514212,
        "relative_strength": 2.145169,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.636128,
        "energy": 86.117647,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.400977,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.02486,
        "volume": 310500,
        "typical_volume": 208480.0,
        "trend": 30.242272,
        "fair_value": 23.60626,
        "relative_strength": 3.658784,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.218548,
        "energy": 77.528194,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.617021,
          32.396262,
          31.739966,
          31.125046
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.254345,
        "volume": 183800,
        "typical_volume": 202505.0,
        "trend": 30.386726,
        "fair_value": 23.700521,
        "relative_strength": 4.020381,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.304963,
        "energy": 73.71812,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.866889,
          32.59333,
          31.946436,
          31.319373
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.130001,
        "volume": 277000,
        "typical_volume": 200200.0,
        "trend": 30.584904,
        "fair_value": 23.795468,
        "relative_strength": 4.01246,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.162127,
        "energy": 70.093386,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.015344,
          32.730325,
          32.123102,
          31.496359
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 33.27,
        "volume": 196300,
        "typical_volume": 195990.0,
        "trend": 30.780175,
        "fair_value": 23.890262,
        "relative_strength": 1.112401,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.54544,
        "energy": 70.333529,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.149911,
          32.871688,
          32.295403,
          31.669591
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}