{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "173f74ed-4645-4255-a5ec-d80859219473",
    "symbol": "APRW",
    "name": "ALLIANZIM U.S. EQUITY BUFFER20 APR ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 49.914,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.723,
    "architecture_energy": 74.632,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.38,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.97,
        "rotation_up": 65.63,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 56.28,
        "rotation_down": 27.82,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        37.36474,
        37.248975,
        37.055558,
        36.7043
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 37.6,
    "trend_reference": 36.209787,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.038393,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 32.578387,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.154139,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.396992,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.071536,
    "excess_performance": -0.054088,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038393,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023766,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.154139,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002798,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05397,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003051,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071536,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.393727,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 20055,
      "relative_activity": 0.181691,
      "balance": 1.393727,
      "dry_up": 0.720333,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.00556,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.030091,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.121718
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 36.209787,
      "fair_value_reference": 32.578387,
      "structural_low": 35.015,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
        "median_return": 0.006507,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005485,
        "regime_survival": 0.844444,
        "best_return": 0.024619,
        "worst_return": -0.0414,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.025106,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023433,
        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
        "best_return": 0.046259,
        "worst_return": -0.067617,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.045969,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022331,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.059516,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "regime_survival": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.029026,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "fair_value": 32.346919,
        "relative_strength": -4.574457,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 113879.2,
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        "fair_value": 32.403842,
        "relative_strength": -3.116386,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.593657,
        "energy": 75.123854,
        "activity_lines": [
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          36.44801
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 37.1453,
        "volume": 27665,
        "typical_volume": 111971.2,
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        "fair_value": 32.459902,
        "relative_strength": -2.545868,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 74.829253,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.3488,
        "volume": 18611,
        "typical_volume": 111002.95,
        "trend": 36.12128,
        "fair_value": 32.518322,
        "relative_strength": -2.909403,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.716017,
        "energy": 76.810736,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.23588,
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          36.965446,
          36.608898
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.6,
        "volume": 20055,
        "typical_volume": 110379.9,
        "trend": 36.209787,
        "fair_value": 32.578387,
        "relative_strength": -5.396992,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.723419,
        "energy": 74.631904,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}