{ "ticker": { "uuid": "17409e23-bdbb-4ea4-bc26-5debb6cc928d", "symbol": "DFAX", "name": "DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST WORLD EX US CORE EQUITY 2 ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.38, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.065, "architecture_energy": 27.357, "architecture_maturity": 50.153, "architecture_confidence": 85.905, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.57, "rotation_up": 37.65, "upward_expansion": 61.94, "deceleration": 88.42, "rotation_down": 29.51, "downward_expansion": 15.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.842667, 36.756429, 36.667175, 36.310085 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 37.85, "trend_reference": 35.877273, "distance_from_trend": 0.054985, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.637726, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.369505, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.614055, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.068035, "excess_performance": -0.05759, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054985, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043891, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.369505, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040609, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.006141, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043165, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.068035, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.360805, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3274910, "relative_activity": 0.847567, "balance": 2.360805, "dry_up": 1.027492, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033768, "annualized_volatility": 0.195492, "from_high_reference": -0.00523, "from_low_reference": 0.278495 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.877273, "fair_value_reference": 27.637726, "structural_low": 32.793489, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.020359, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.005328, "regime_survival": 0.84375, "best_return": 0.064238, "worst_return": -0.066795, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.035415, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": -0.029919, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.121023, "worst_return": -0.085597, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.070207, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.082495, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.199335, "worst_return": -0.053213, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.147191, "energy": 30.784228, "activity_lines": [ 36.84655, 36.808626, 36.410024, 36.035248 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 36.07, "volume": 3702355, "typical_volume": 4058722.85, "trend": 35.516217, "fair_value": 27.354864, "relative_strength": -1.255717, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.552104, "energy": 16.328927, "activity_lines": [ 36.562954, 36.6757, 36.424916, 36.079031 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.1, "volume": 3776735, "typical_volume": 3978484.95, "trend": 35.625103, "fair_value": 27.441602, "relative_strength": -0.660516, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.778139, "energy": 14.479705, "activity_lines": [ 36.354, 36.568916, 36.446744, 36.116694 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.51, "volume": 5126492, "typical_volume": 3981810.15, "trend": 35.73734, "fair_value": 27.534834, "relative_strength": -0.698184, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.826248, "energy": 13.301731, "activity_lines": [ 36.378, 36.538828, 36.499717, 36.173785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.85, "volume": 3274910, "typical_volume": 3863897.3, "trend": 35.877273, "fair_value": 27.637726, "relative_strength": -0.614055, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.064636, "energy": 27.356649, "activity_lines": [ 36.842667, 36.756429, 36.667175, 36.310085 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }