{ "ticker": { "uuid": "174e10ec-f224-48b1-bf0b-ec2f2dea68d5", "symbol": "600271", "name": "Aisino Co.Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.027, "architecture_energy": 50.885, "architecture_maturity": 94.043, "architecture_confidence": 72.773, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.44, "rotation_up": 27.13, "upward_expansion": 15.67, "deceleration": 66.9, "rotation_down": 46.61, "downward_expansion": 74.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.795333, 6.781273, 7.170238, 7.653849 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.94, "trend_reference": 8.481667, "distance_from_trend": -0.181765, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.285912, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.252631, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.720227, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.308765, "excess_performance": -0.265561, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.181765, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08995, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.252631, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.143056, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.197202, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070942, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.308765, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.461663, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91881856, "relative_activity": 1.298313, "balance": 0.461663, "dry_up": 1.237101, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070938, "annualized_volatility": 0.2824, "from_high_reference": -0.503931, "from_low_reference": 0.092913 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.481667, "fair_value_reference": 9.285912, "structural_low": 6.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.002591, "positive_rate": 0.517241, "directional_follow_through": 0.482759, "median_excess_return": -0.01461, "regime_survival": 0.793103, "best_return": 0.244941, "worst_return": -0.167617, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.061627, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.043948, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.251359, "worst_return": -0.225815, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.033116, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.057753, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.124506, "worst_return": -0.226094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 72315804.2, "trend": 8.965667, "fair_value": 9.453953, "relative_strength": -24.090548, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.536769, "energy": 72.619812, "activity_lines": [ 6.798667, 7.053091, 7.611, 8.193935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.44, "volume": 94638901, "typical_volume": 72887071.9, "trend": 8.887, "fair_value": 9.407915, "relative_strength": -23.765019, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.009003, "energy": 70.163248, "activity_lines": [ 6.664, 6.883636, 7.450476, 8.030989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.51, "volume": 81939240, "typical_volume": 70515601.2, "trend": 8.758667, "fair_value": 9.364814, "relative_strength": -23.31209, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.359609, "energy": 66.860376, "activity_lines": [ 6.595333, 6.769273, 7.314143, 7.877634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.99, "volume": 81739437, "typical_volume": 70120992.75, "trend": 8.64, "fair_value": 9.324726, "relative_strength": -17.4793, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.057252, "energy": 60.857032, "activity_lines": [ 6.719333, 6.771091, 7.238762, 7.763527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.94, "volume": 91881856, "typical_volume": 70770172.45, "trend": 8.481667, "fair_value": 9.285912, "relative_strength": -19.720227, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.02687, "energy": 50.884955, "activity_lines": [ 6.795333, 6.781273, 7.170238, 7.653849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }