{ "ticker": { "uuid": "175b533f-6034-4aee-84be-50a177ed709c", "symbol": "002082", "name": "Wanbangde Pharmaceutical Holding Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.352, "architecture_energy": 74.43, "architecture_maturity": 35.459, "architecture_confidence": 91.697, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.52, "rotation_up": 25.65, "upward_expansion": 17.18, "deceleration": 41.47, "rotation_down": 57.66, "downward_expansion": 90.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.171333, 10.818182, 14.079333, 16.272 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.45, "trend_reference": 17.857, "distance_from_trend": -0.414795, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.969093, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.165112, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.605995, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.331414, "excess_performance": -0.338814, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.414795, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037722, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.165112, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.701779, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.33606, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.821932, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.331414, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.232655, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53617526, "relative_activity": 0.514468, "balance": 1.232655, "dry_up": 0.733228, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.231064, "annualized_volatility": 1.040089, "from_high_reference": -0.711645, "from_low_reference": 0.461538 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.857, "fair_value_reference": 8.969093, "structural_low": 8.53, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.01232, "positive_rate": 0.433333, "directional_follow_through": 0.566667, "median_excess_return": -0.00096, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.291397, "worst_return": -0.268331, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.013889, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.029771, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.424317, "worst_return": -0.272868, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.004717, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.126897, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.538194, "worst_return": -0.348611, "sufficient": true }, { 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8.913511, "relative_strength": -28.211972, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.385703, "energy": 85.225592, "activity_lines": [ 11.596, 12.325818, 16.720857, 17.882387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.05, "volume": 95409463, "typical_volume": 105057317.8, "trend": 18.102667, "fair_value": 8.927528, "relative_strength": -40.157091, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.456836, "energy": 86.042642, "activity_lines": [ 10.647333, 11.543636, 15.732857, 17.292366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.81, "volume": 93842226, "typical_volume": 104796931.35, "trend": 17.973, "fair_value": 8.946605, "relative_strength": -34.269509, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.570946, "energy": 77.944251, "activity_lines": [ 10.258667, 11.078909, 14.854905, 16.757355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.45, "volume": 53617526, "typical_volume": 104219437.25, "trend": 17.857, "fair_value": 8.969093, "relative_strength": -33.605995, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.352228, "energy": 74.430239, "activity_lines": [ 10.171333, 10.818182, 14.079333, 16.272 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }