{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1764a6e0-9ae4-4fb9-bc39-b65b3d312636", "symbol": "3035", "name": "Faraday Technology Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 68.35, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -11.935, "architecture_energy": 22.198, "architecture_maturity": 12.816, "architecture_confidence": 54.038, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.07, "rotation_up": 17.28, "upward_expansion": 17.32, "deceleration": 64.88, "rotation_down": 54.02, "downward_expansion": 37.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 172.2, 184.642916, 188.360056, 182.685102 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 173.5, "trend_reference": 175.854191, "distance_from_trend": -0.013387, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 239.617161, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.275928, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.956708, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.094125, "excess_performance": -0.347247, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.013387, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047537, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.275928, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055099, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.269567, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026929, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.094125, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.649343, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17973066, "relative_activity": 0.364466, "balance": 0.649343, "dry_up": 0.571613, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.17027, "annualized_volatility": 0.689071, "from_high_reference": -0.291837, "from_low_reference": 0.259424 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 175.854191, "fair_value_reference": 239.617161, "structural_low": 137.761383, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.027402, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.063332, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.281457, "worst_return": -0.199593, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.024366, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.174878, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.70137, "worst_return": -0.256619, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.170861, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.370669, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.176865, 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"close": 184.0, "volume": 28158476, "typical_volume": 46038931.8, "trend": 174.872145, "fair_value": 243.037117, "relative_strength": -20.594142, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.334882, "energy": 36.466409, "activity_lines": [ 204.9, 202.881296, 191.540353, 183.294897 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 197.5, "volume": 22152009, "typical_volume": 46427809.4, "trend": 175.971452, "fair_value": 242.485485, "relative_strength": -15.717418, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.172569, "energy": 27.561482, "activity_lines": [ 201.533333, 202.186174, 193.228422, 184.754759 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 149.5, "volume": 45042201, "typical_volume": 48083127.9, "trend": 175.503795, "fair_value": 241.105509, "relative_strength": -34.435464, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.096718, "energy": 11.905156, "activity_lines": [ 182.933333, 192.596634, 190.152623, 183.046923 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 172.0, "volume": 27585584, "typical_volume": 48820822.7, "trend": 175.604438, "fair_value": 240.239458, "relative_strength": -25.711427, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.447793, "energy": 19.111702, "activity_lines": [ 175.633333, 188.181998, 189.222777, 182.820872 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 173.5, "volume": 17973066, "typical_volume": 49313484.15, "trend": 175.854191, "fair_value": 239.617161, "relative_strength": -26.956708, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.935413, "energy": 22.197519, "activity_lines": [ 172.2, 184.642916, 188.360056, 182.685102 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }