{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "17664ff4-3791-4c6f-9e9b-832162a192db",
    "symbol": "PIF",
    "name": "Polaris Renewable Energy Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 62.091,
    "architecture_energy": 57.918,
    "architecture_maturity": 86.94,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.226,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.25,
        "rotation_up": 48.81,
        "upward_expansion": 77.6,
        "deceleration": 71.5,
        "rotation_down": 28.24,
        "downward_expansion": 15.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        15.359333,
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        14.504327,
        13.896526
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 15.23,
    "trend_reference": 13.177936,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.15572,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.68488,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.303394,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.259159,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.274533,
    "excess_performance": 0.154112,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15572,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095997,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.303394,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.227585,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062592,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149496,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.274533,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.266785,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 167600,
      "relative_activity": 1.114769,
      "balance": 2.266785,
      "dry_up": 1.434534,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.047182,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.229484,
      "from_high_reference": -0.052861,
      "from_low_reference": 0.362813
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.177936,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.68488,
      "structural_low": 11.510221,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.022991,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000455,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.21789,
        "worst_return": -0.159949,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.017437,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032752,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.235524,
        "worst_return": -0.112458,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.100781,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.15524,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.026889,
        "worst_return": -0.247273,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.092797,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.22235,
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        "worst_return": -0.262271,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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      {
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 12.690756,
        "volume": 120800,
        "typical_volume": 181155.0,
        "trend": 12.09568,
        "fair_value": 11.447945,
        "relative_strength": -6.093483,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.383586,
        "energy": 66.773391,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 12.078369,
        "fair_value": 11.457668,
        "relative_strength": -6.68672,
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "direction": 63.602013,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 184270.0,
        "trend": 12.053812,
        "fair_value": 11.458134,
        "relative_strength": -8.690449,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 57.739006,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 192620.0,
        "trend": 12.027385,
        "fair_value": 11.462482,
        "relative_strength": -6.615955,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 33.77813,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 194445.0,
        "trend": 12.003625,
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        "relative_strength": -7.485864,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.13587,
        "energy": 28.011462,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 12.99,
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        "typical_volume": 201485.0,
        "trend": 12.023694,
        "fair_value": 11.477543,
        "relative_strength": -4.863823,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 30000,
        "typical_volume": 197485.0,
        "trend": 12.057863,
        "fair_value": 11.485685,
        "relative_strength": -3.035655,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 58.14466,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 14.85,
        "volume": 43400,
        "typical_volume": 193390.0,
        "trend": 12.156159,
        "fair_value": 11.506068,
        "relative_strength": 8.424272,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.994135,
        "energy": 89.678211,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 185270.0,
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        "fair_value": 11.528671,
        "relative_strength": 8.6863,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 91.825247,
        "energy": 96.083307,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 42000,
        "typical_volume": 170090.0,
        "trend": 12.38091,
        "fair_value": 11.548994,
        "relative_strength": 8.539377,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.683775,
        "energy": 94.254504,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.516667,
          13.797026,
          13.172252,
          12.817517
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 15.93,
        "volume": 35500,
        "typical_volume": 161875.0,
        "trend": 12.530365,
        "fair_value": 11.57588,
        "relative_strength": 15.065186,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.338144,
        "energy": 97.877783,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.112667,
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          13.046491
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 15.69,
        "volume": 132400,
        "typical_volume": 153555.0,
        "trend": 12.675369,
        "fair_value": 11.598907,
        "relative_strength": 13.027908,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.921098,
        "energy": 92.713849,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.432667,
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          13.742192,
          13.250338
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 15.45,
        "volume": 156100,
        "typical_volume": 147110.0,
        "trend": 12.814952,
        "fair_value": 11.619077,
        "relative_strength": 11.338629,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.389,
        "energy": 87.641561,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.498667,
          14.907636,
          13.965438,
          13.429346
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.75,
        "volume": 305000,
        "typical_volume": 147045.0,
        "trend": 12.956795,
        "fair_value": 11.64523,
        "relative_strength": 12.987538,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.754654,
        "energy": 69.556998,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.624667,
          15.174545,
          14.199854,
          13.618704
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.1,
        "volume": 234000,
        "typical_volume": 152695.0,
        "trend": 13.066973,
        "fair_value": 11.665319,
        "relative_strength": 8.77769,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.294794,
        "energy": 64.091796,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.477333,
          15.263818,
          14.353627,
          13.756976
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 15.23,
        "volume": 167600,
        "typical_volume": 150345.0,
        "trend": 13.177936,
        "fair_value": 11.68488,
        "relative_strength": 6.259159,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.09136,
        "energy": 57.917693,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.359333,
          15.330545,
          14.504327,
          13.896526
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}