{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1774fa38-5d80-4a40-a04a-3e456c3d3019", "symbol": "BAJAJFINSV", "name": "Bajaj Finserv Ltd.", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 50.522, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 50.213, "architecture_energy": 68.746, "architecture_maturity": 13.011, "architecture_confidence": 68.762, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.1, "rotation_up": 74.44, "upward_expansion": 64.69, "deceleration": 21.27, "rotation_down": 16.74, "downward_expansion": 23.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 1960.999992, 1904.538607, 1843.214927, 1832.156523 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2008.900024, "trend_reference": 1847.038493, "distance_from_trend": 0.087633, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1792.352109, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.120818, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.041223, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.007559, "excess_performance": 0.036151, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087633, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03627, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.120818, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09232, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.050412, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096556, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.007559, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.124225, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11492920, "relative_activity": 2.268083, "balance": 1.124225, "dry_up": 1.56102, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044356, "annualized_volatility": 0.301687, "from_high_reference": -0.084784, "from_low_reference": 0.257921 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1847.038493, "fair_value_reference": 1792.352109, "structural_low": 1597.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.024043, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.026604, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.1018, "worst_return": -0.079633, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.051355, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.015184, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.083619, "worst_return": 0.015742, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.046563, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.044427, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.166758, "worst_return": -0.131824, "sufficient": false }, { 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"stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.296315, "energy": 45.494395, "activity_lines": [ 1873.453011, 1830.050284, 1798.133068, 1809.916974 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2029.099976, "volume": 7617532, "typical_volume": 4932302.2, "trend": 1846.488493, "fair_value": 1789.1048, "relative_strength": 6.990258, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 57.744088, "energy": 70.423547, "activity_lines": [ 1929.459977, 1871.53631, 1822.328995, 1821.678359 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2008.900024, "volume": 11492920, "typical_volume": 5067239.7, "trend": 1847.038493, "fair_value": 1792.352109, "relative_strength": 5.041223, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 50.213199, "energy": 68.745809, "activity_lines": [ 1960.999992, 1904.538607, 1843.214927, 1832.156523 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }