{ "ticker": { "uuid": "178d88c0-d55b-4486-9464-f56ca3d0a0ba", "symbol": "2597", "name": "Ruentex Engineering & Construction Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 83.499, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.451, "architecture_energy": 16.29, "architecture_maturity": 35.262, "architecture_confidence": 77.475, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.86, "rotation_up": 25.83, "upward_expansion": 53.41, "deceleration": 88.44, "rotation_down": 25.8, "downward_expansion": 17.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 164.9, 166.035657, 164.555513, 161.906337 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 166.5, "trend_reference": 160.159002, "distance_from_trend": 0.039592, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 117.772379, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.413744, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.426144, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.062007, "excess_performance": -0.379365, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039592, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021871, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.413744, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00528, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.244261, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068243, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.062007, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.900333, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1306044, "relative_activity": 0.337829, "balance": 4.900333, "dry_up": 0.357949, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065164, "annualized_volatility": 0.299952, "from_high_reference": -0.142623, "from_low_reference": 0.203851 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 160.159002, "fair_value_reference": 117.772379, "structural_low": 141.148062, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.006969, "positive_rate": 0.380952, "directional_follow_through": 0.380952, "median_excess_return": -0.019986, "regime_survival": 0.52381, "best_return": 0.266781, "worst_return": -0.12069, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.078431, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.017608, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.200652, "worst_return": -0.212505, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.190975, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.064011, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.299623, "worst_return": -0.264231, 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"typical_volume": 4304552.95, "trend": 159.887694, "fair_value": 115.619164, "relative_strength": -25.793203, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.166554, "energy": 18.814987, "activity_lines": [ 164.833333, 167.601177, 162.741986, 160.886822 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 163.5, "volume": 1625114, "typical_volume": 4312231.95, "trend": 160.0328, "fair_value": 116.336576, "relative_strength": -22.896563, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.869108, "energy": 19.382827, "activity_lines": [ 164.133333, 166.903458, 163.206363, 161.119874 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 166.0, "volume": 818394, "typical_volume": 3936602.45, "trend": 160.277028, "fair_value": 117.051195, "relative_strength": -22.862921, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.79963, "energy": 18.299757, "activity_lines": [ 164.3, 166.503628, 163.899384, 161.504855 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 166.5, "volume": 1306044, "typical_volume": 3865986.65, "trend": 160.159002, "fair_value": 117.772379, "relative_strength": -24.426144, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.450637, "energy": 16.289659, "activity_lines": [ 164.9, 166.035657, 164.555513, 161.906337 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }