{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1796fc4c-6f68-4174-9897-1d3700ed2840", "symbol": "300588", "name": "Xinjiang Sailing Information Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.084, "architecture_energy": 26.007, "architecture_maturity": 35.41, "architecture_confidence": 87.612, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.05, "rotation_up": 20.48, "upward_expansion": 3.87, "deceleration": 51.15, "rotation_down": 47.15, "downward_expansion": 72.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.471333, 21.663818, 21.714714, 22.371398 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 22.299999, "trend_reference": 23.472, "distance_from_trend": -0.049932, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.864936, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.405615, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.575809, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.138664, "excess_performance": -0.146063, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.049932, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083256, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.405615, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.165465, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.095758, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019869, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.138664, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.983092, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19664302, "relative_activity": 0.930519, "balance": 0.983092, "dry_up": 1.321598, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.14367, "annualized_volatility": 0.651931, "from_high_reference": -0.331535, "from_low_reference": 0.303331 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.472, "fair_value_reference": 15.864936, "structural_low": 17.700001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.038049, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": 0.019199, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.433094, "worst_return": -0.178998, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.125169, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.109609, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.678891, "worst_return": -0.070093, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.18504, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.217508, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.65653, "worst_return": -0.031776, "sufficient": false 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"relative_strength": -16.496593, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.435947, "energy": 20.720071, "activity_lines": [ 22.177333, 21.593636, 22.080714, 22.877398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.77, "volume": 24251815, "typical_volume": 21877001.15, "trend": 23.844333, "fair_value": 15.729231, "relative_strength": -16.980494, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.809072, "energy": 27.474792, "activity_lines": [ 21.215333, 21.340909, 21.797476, 22.596107 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.690001, "volume": 22791860, "typical_volume": 21122425.15, "trend": 23.628667, "fair_value": 15.792628, "relative_strength": -7.519143, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.894721, "energy": 23.331534, "activity_lines": [ 21.194667, 21.458546, 21.717857, 22.457118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.299999, "volume": 19664302, "typical_volume": 21132622.7, "trend": 23.472, "fair_value": 15.864936, "relative_strength": -9.575809, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.084497, "energy": 26.006684, "activity_lines": [ 21.471333, 21.663818, 21.714714, 22.371398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }