{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "179cb0ec-0f40-4a2b-a98c-5f26bc1b0c2f",
    "symbol": "5292",
    "name": "Desiccant Technology Corporation",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -18.479,
    "architecture_energy": 35.498,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.244,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.883,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.22,
        "rotation_up": 23.13,
        "upward_expansion": 16.93,
        "deceleration": 45.19,
        "rotation_down": 52.47,
        "downward_expansion": 51.59
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        174.6,
        178.136633,
        185.754962,
        186.916561
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 193.0,
    "trend_reference": 185.479282,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.040547,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 127.689469,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.511479,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -14.524261,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.136493,
    "excess_performance": -0.304879,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040547,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094868,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.511479,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.188136,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.145243,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072798,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.136493,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.574817,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 672872,
      "relative_activity": 0.463378,
      "balance": 0.574817,
      "dry_up": 0.428134,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.090609,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.62995,
      "from_high_reference": -0.196292,
      "from_low_reference": 0.610382
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 185.479282,
      "fair_value_reference": 127.689469,
      "structural_low": 150.0,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.03413,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000483,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.118965,
        "worst_return": -0.167862,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.068826,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.06859,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.21843,
        "worst_return": -0.080778,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.255699,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017691,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.477816,
        "worst_return": 0.033582,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.034408,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.155761,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.034408,
        "worst_return": -0.034408,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.060932,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.125021,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010033,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.095541,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010239,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.00339,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.081425,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.420168,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.068558,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.135727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.237179,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
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        "typical_volume": 423514.95,
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      },
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      },
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 1731009.15,
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        "fair_value": 126.408205,
        "relative_strength": -27.553261,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -40.772615,
        "energy": 62.357838,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 172.0,
        "volume": 482138,
        "typical_volume": 1698614.7,
        "trend": 184.175947,
        "fair_value": 126.975981,
        "relative_strength": -21.585495,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.421366,
        "energy": 60.148323,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 193.0,
        "volume": 672872,
        "typical_volume": 1452102.6,
        "trend": 185.479282,
        "fair_value": 127.689469,
        "relative_strength": -14.524261,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.478643,
        "energy": 35.497812,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}