{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "179cff24-eb67-4f5e-a1dd-b4a1118c35de",
    "symbol": "FUND",
    "name": "Sprott Focus Trust",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.533,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 59.106,
    "architecture_energy": 45.541,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.114,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.44,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.74,
        "rotation_up": 63.97,
        "upward_expansion": 71.04,
        "deceleration": 49.29,
        "rotation_down": 11.97,
        "downward_expansion": 14.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.005667,
        9.872621,
        9.884147,
        9.800745
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 10.285,
    "trend_reference": 9.667086,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.063919,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.407202,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.388514,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.774956,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.090562,
    "excess_performance": -0.096891,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063919,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059592,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.388514,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020344,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00775,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009144,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090562,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.734804,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 119367,
      "relative_activity": 0.851775,
      "balance": 1.734804,
      "dry_up": 0.942255,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033283,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.162155,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004106,
      "from_low_reference": 0.429895
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.667086,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.407202,
      "structural_low": 8.796227,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.001227,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033751,
        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
        "best_return": 0.068027,
        "worst_return": -0.070013,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.018734,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037452,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.083669,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.03162,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010807,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.099665,
        "worst_return": -0.040594,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.076051,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050201,
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        "worst_return": 0.029265,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.765175,
        "energy": 13.995677,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 7.302187,
        "relative_strength": -4.562368,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 315958,
        "typical_volume": 146655.05,
        "trend": 9.468115,
        "fair_value": 7.322149,
        "relative_strength": -4.409936,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 8.033924,
        "energy": 20.907569,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 9.92,
        "volume": 195275,
        "typical_volume": 148819.95,
        "trend": 9.519905,
        "fair_value": 7.342991,
        "relative_strength": 1.69768,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 20.332652,
        "energy": 19.512603,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.703,
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          9.809206,
          9.715727
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 9.81,
        "volume": 115805,
        "typical_volume": 142108.75,
        "trend": 9.563978,
        "fair_value": 7.362505,
        "relative_strength": 2.004605,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.577022,
        "energy": 8.5425,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.753333,
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          9.734443
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.92,
        "volume": 97740,
        "typical_volume": 142681.95,
        "trend": 9.613337,
        "fair_value": 7.383606,
        "relative_strength": 2.362212,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.609435,
        "energy": 22.442391,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.836,
          9.789291,
          9.83524,
          9.757412
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.285,
        "volume": 119367,
        "typical_volume": 140139.05,
        "trend": 9.667086,
        "fair_value": 7.407202,
        "relative_strength": 0.774956,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.105873,
        "energy": 45.540611,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.005667,
          9.872621,
          9.884147,
          9.800745
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}