{ "ticker": { "uuid": "17a66ffa-5426-4f2a-98b7-028371101105", "symbol": "CAS", "name": "Cascades Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 99.263, "architecture_energy": 99.177, "architecture_maturity": 28.0, "architecture_confidence": 74.872, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.64, "rotation_up": 91.38, "upward_expansion": 99.98, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.01, "downward_expansion": 21.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.334667, 13.212909, 12.172807, 11.914925 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 17.02, "trend_reference": 11.883341, "distance_from_trend": 0.432257, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.365173, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.642037, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 32.640623, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.30018, "excess_performance": 0.179759, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.432257, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008894, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.642037, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.600701, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.326406, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.429303, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.30018, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.376327, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5039500, "relative_activity": 4.338226, "balance": 5.376327, "dry_up": 2.205161, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050999, "annualized_volatility": 0.470005, "from_high_reference": -0.001174, "from_low_reference": 0.878613 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.883341, "fair_value_reference": 10.365173, "structural_low": 10.141842, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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11.228, 10.97262, 10.96311, 11.290216 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 11.97, "volume": 196400, "typical_volume": 907400.0, "trend": 11.654111, "fair_value": 10.274296, "relative_strength": -2.241262, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 18.023808, "energy": 31.973067, "activity_lines": [ 11.519333, 11.180848, 11.031147, 11.310438 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 11.67, "volume": 1137600, "typical_volume": 918975.0, "trend": 11.649157, "fair_value": 10.281835, "relative_strength": -4.868808, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 5.892073, "energy": 37.33121, "activity_lines": [ 11.644, 11.310098, 11.078744, 11.311463 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.49, "volume": 1190700, "typical_volume": 882805.0, "trend": 11.662731, "fair_value": 10.2967, "relative_strength": 1.758161, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.984076, "energy": 66.698564, "activity_lines": [ 11.98, 11.570359, 11.214088, 11.365711 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.13, "volume": 1391300, "typical_volume": 890000.0, "trend": 11.701878, "fair_value": 10.313151, "relative_strength": 6.363002, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 53.097949, "energy": 76.062677, "activity_lines": [ 12.422, 11.913636, 11.406955, 11.460373 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.47, "volume": 2625000, "typical_volume": 967860.0, "trend": 11.742574, "fair_value": 10.328203, "relative_strength": 9.177841, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 61.256471, "energy": 81.320159, "activity_lines": [ 12.843333, 12.267636, 11.626098, 11.574446 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.02, "volume": 5039500, "typical_volume": 1161650.0, "trend": 11.883341, "fair_value": 10.365173, "relative_strength": 32.640623, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 99.263073, "energy": 99.177267, "activity_lines": [ 14.334667, 13.212909, 12.172807, 11.914925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }