{ "ticker": { "uuid": "17b2f965-94e3-451d-90b7-7cd254967f54", "symbol": "PACEUA", "name": "UBS MSCI Pacific ex Japan UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.008, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 97.306, "architecture_energy": 98.867, "architecture_maturity": 14.393, "architecture_confidence": 61.299, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.86, "rotation_up": 91.19, "upward_expansion": 100.0, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.01, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.957, 48.071273, 47.34081, 46.950572 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 50.060001, "trend_reference": 46.355493, "distance_from_trend": 0.079915, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 39.74371, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.25957, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.606343, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.11194, "excess_performance": -0.058952, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079915, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039434, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.25957, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048274, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036063, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004765, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.11194, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 27.987421, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2996, "relative_activity": 2.20773, "balance": 27.987421, "dry_up": 0.914115, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.011786, "annualized_volatility": 0.104119, "from_high_reference": -0.000399, "from_low_reference": 0.225349 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.355493, "fair_value_reference": 39.74371, "structural_low": 44.310001, "invalidation": "A 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"modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.593691, "energy": 79.388335, "activity_lines": [ 46.863334, 46.549273, 46.444643, 46.177861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 48.005001, "volume": 478, "typical_volume": 1272.2, "trend": 45.696593, "fair_value": 39.457282, "relative_strength": -4.778532, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.593751, "energy": 91.922135, "activity_lines": [ 47.353334, 46.827364, 46.605143, 46.339444 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 48.209999, "volume": 418, "typical_volume": 1277.35, "trend": 45.899561, "fair_value": 39.543388, "relative_strength": -4.075177, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.663321, "energy": 94.518649, "activity_lines": [ 47.764, 47.120909, 46.780905, 46.5016 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.924999, "volume": 1070, "typical_volume": 1244.15, "trend": 46.126362, "fair_value": 39.638154, "relative_strength": -3.13523, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.528664, "energy": 97.062329, "activity_lines": [ 48.251666, 47.514, 47.014786, 46.696789 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.060001, "volume": 2996, "typical_volume": 1357.05, "trend": 46.355493, "fair_value": 39.74371, "relative_strength": -3.606343, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 97.306281, "energy": 98.867436, "activity_lines": [ 48.957, 48.071273, 47.34081, 46.950572 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }