{ "ticker": { "uuid": "17ccdeef-e454-4007-ac3a-b32050f8379c", "symbol": "BEAM", "name": "Beam Therapeutics\u00a0Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 57.647, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -16.612, "architecture_energy": 28.478, "architecture_maturity": 36.211, "architecture_confidence": 61.393, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.77, "rotation_up": 17.0, "upward_expansion": 17.8, "deceleration": 63.33, "rotation_down": 61.17, "downward_expansion": 40.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.834667, 29.038909, 29.703762, 29.179118 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 27.48, "trend_reference": 28.766667, "distance_from_trend": -0.044728, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.319776, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.085318, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.423922, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.036199, "excess_performance": -0.151255, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.044728, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055425, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.085318, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.185352, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.094239, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.232119, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.036199, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.751392, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7995960, "relative_activity": 0.752709, "balance": 0.751392, "dry_up": 0.93016, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.164461, "annualized_volatility": 0.680801, "from_high_reference": -0.281756, "from_low_reference": 0.761538 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.766667, "fair_value_reference": 25.319776, "structural_low": 21.63, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.012632, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004886, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.274462, "worst_return": -0.16971, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.025072, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.150144, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.242233, "worst_return": -0.267606, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.374282, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.317564, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.289509, "worst_return": -0.441141, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"blue", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.180583, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.121027, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.174772, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.231878, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.050809, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.195723, "active": false }, { 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25.357917, "relative_strength": -5.280014, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.506295, "energy": 22.793988, "activity_lines": [ 31.766667, 31.690909, 30.596667, 29.721763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.1, "volume": 10936040, "typical_volume": 10678998.25, "trend": 28.823, "fair_value": 25.31766, "relative_strength": -12.166692, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.049263, "energy": 11.034236, "activity_lines": [ 29.203333, 30.584, 30.206143, 29.475376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.52, "volume": 8218306, "typical_volume": 10673462.0, "trend": 28.769, "fair_value": 25.307404, "relative_strength": -11.306393, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.440203, "energy": 27.325251, "activity_lines": [ 27.382667, 29.604909, 29.862476, 29.26228 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.48, "volume": 7995960, "typical_volume": 10622908.15, "trend": 28.766667, "fair_value": 25.319776, "relative_strength": -9.423922, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.611594, "energy": 28.478276, "activity_lines": [ 26.834667, 29.038909, 29.703762, 29.179118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }