{ "ticker": { "uuid": "17da0896-7f1b-4962-83a2-89812092fba9", "symbol": "NFLY", "name": "TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX NFLX OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.299, "architecture_energy": 81.266, "architecture_maturity": 31.798, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 17.93, "upward_expansion": 19.49, "deceleration": 38.83, "rotation_down": 67.12, "downward_expansion": 92.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.455058, 7.635487, 8.222039, 8.597579 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.61, "trend_reference": 8.926375, "distance_from_trend": -0.14747, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.663282, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.12158, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.610315, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.127846, "excess_performance": -0.253471, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.14747, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079326, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.12158, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.179897, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.316103, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065001, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.127846, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.420188, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 245906, "relative_activity": 0.52348, "balance": 0.420188, "dry_up": 0.66556, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055394, "annualized_volatility": 0.333783, "from_high_reference": -0.390395, "from_low_reference": 0.11077 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.926375, "fair_value_reference": 8.663282, "structural_low": 6.851105, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.068855, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.071876, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.204139, "worst_return": -0.107363, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.045764, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.112624, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.102668, "worst_return": -0.194197, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.111466, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.249344, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.111466, "worst_return": -0.111466, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 624461.8, "trend": 8.983046, "fair_value": 8.648745, "relative_strength": -31.498499, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.989035, "energy": 86.259833, "activity_lines": [ 7.425117, 7.708732, 8.341335, 8.686163 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.61, "volume": 245906, "typical_volume": 469752.7, "trend": 8.926375, "fair_value": 8.663282, "relative_strength": -31.610315, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.299056, "energy": 81.265505, "activity_lines": [ 7.455058, 7.635487, 8.222039, 8.597579 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }