{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "17daede5-2f2a-4866-824c-9f1aebf3efaa",
    "symbol": "S56",
    "name": "Samudera Shipping Line Ltd",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 60.822,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -57.367,
    "architecture_energy": 42.586,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.904,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.09,
        "rotation_up": 25.71,
        "upward_expansion": 6.55,
        "deceleration": 48.84,
        "rotation_down": 45.29,
        "downward_expansion": 77.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.953333,
        0.955,
        0.976497,
        0.991065
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.955,
    "trend_reference": 1.009575,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.054058,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.778112,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.22733,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -18.021369,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.062822,
    "excess_performance": -0.217657,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054058,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00147,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.22733,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.184333,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.180214,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.207759,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062822,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.423459,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1729400,
      "relative_activity": 0.603749,
      "balance": 0.423459,
      "dry_up": 0.833995,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033427,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.250024,
      "from_high_reference": -0.177112,
      "from_low_reference": 0.130896
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.009575,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.778112,
      "structural_low": 0.935,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.016049,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027718,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.216666,
        "worst_return": -0.159854,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.063976,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.041735,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.196851,
        "worst_return": -0.259038,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.045341,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004585,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.385077,
        "worst_return": -0.113179,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.228316,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.075,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.023669,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "return": -0.044199,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
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        "return": 0.010825,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "relative_strength": 8.02883,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": 4.702237,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -9.776094,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 3994485.0,
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        "relative_strength": -12.519977,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 0.767183,
        "relative_strength": -12.794576,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 3643220.0,
        "trend": 1.022052,
        "fair_value": 0.76914,
        "relative_strength": -15.726871,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.250042,
        "energy": 58.101311,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.955,
        "volume": 2748200,
        "typical_volume": 3438325.0,
        "trend": 1.022434,
        "fair_value": 0.771089,
        "relative_strength": -16.504848,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.273872,
        "energy": 62.460202,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.956667,
          0.961455,
          0.990221,
          1.003732
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.965,
        "volume": 1662300,
        "typical_volume": 3012730.0,
        "trend": 1.020004,
        "fair_value": 0.773172,
        "relative_strength": -16.452911,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.510453,
        "energy": 47.447047,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.959,
          0.960636,
          0.98652,
          1.000027
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.94,
        "volume": 3415800,
        "typical_volume": 2899770.0,
        "trend": 1.013911,
        "fair_value": 0.775594,
        "relative_strength": -18.751712,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.061009,
        "energy": 51.187236,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.953333,
          0.955909,
          0.980651,
          0.994865
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.955,
        "volume": 1729400,
        "typical_volume": 2864435.0,
        "trend": 1.009575,
        "fair_value": 0.778112,
        "relative_strength": -18.021369,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.367212,
        "energy": 42.585711,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.953333,
          0.955,
          0.976497,
          0.991065
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}