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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.747, "architecture_energy": 76.551, "architecture_maturity": 40.332, "architecture_confidence": 80.832, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.19, "rotation_up": 75.61, "upward_expansion": 89.92, "deceleration": 49.91, "rotation_down": 10.29, "downward_expansion": 16.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.833333, 49.818182, 45.634524, 43.065061 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 49.75, "trend_reference": 40.474972, "distance_from_trend": 0.229155, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 39.086925, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.272804, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.573369, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.346629, "excess_performance": 0.154304, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.229155, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.11794, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.272804, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.295244, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.105734, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.159157, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.346629, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.995416, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53621500, "relative_activity": 1.340103, "balance": 1.995416, "dry_up": 1.346079, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063394, "annualized_volatility": 0.472696, "from_high_reference": -0.107623, "from_low_reference": 0.658333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.474972, "fair_value_reference": 39.086925, "structural_low": 30.0, 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80.101395, "energy": 85.886017, "activity_lines": [ 42.7, 41.263636, 38.918978, 38.207991 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 46.75, "volume": 16963600, "typical_volume": 41749110.0, "trend": 37.598839, "fair_value": 39.053163, "relative_strength": 6.27255, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.669162, "energy": 92.40763, "activity_lines": [ 44.25, 42.522727, 39.73846, 38.82579 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 49.25, "volume": 72402000, "typical_volume": 42978540.0, "trend": 38.123212, "fair_value": 39.044394, "relative_strength": 10.861274, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.765963, "energy": 95.793625, "activity_lines": [ 46.216667, 44.031818, 40.77381, 39.577478 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 54.5, "volume": 69791400, "typical_volume": 44507420.0, "trend": 38.822584, "fair_value": 39.064813, "relative_strength": 20.691175, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 96.056725, "energy": 97.779532, "activity_lines": [ 49.416667, 46.231818, 42.27619, 40.634045 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.5, "volume": 53676200, "typical_volume": 41961120.0, "trend": 39.473025, "fair_value": 39.071837, "relative_strength": 19.718883, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.531356, "energy": 95.480365, "activity_lines": [ 51.716667, 48.145455, 43.72619, 41.645491 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.75, "volume": 38353400, "typical_volume": 40354615.0, "trend": 40.023643, "fair_value": 39.080582, "relative_strength": 14.480562, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.324512, "energy": 87.647604, "activity_lines": [ 52.366667, 49.268182, 44.820238, 42.437554 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.75, "volume": 53621500, "typical_volume": 40012975.0, "trend": 40.474972, "fair_value": 39.086925, "relative_strength": 10.573369, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.746953, "energy": 76.550687, "activity_lines": [ 51.833333, 49.818182, 45.634524, 43.065061 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }