{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "17eed91c-a5e6-4757-8690-cd483dc3d705",
    "symbol": "STEF-B",
    "name": "Stend\u00f6rren Fastigheter AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -29.726,
    "architecture_energy": 16.993,
    "architecture_maturity": 72.844,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.901,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.68,
        "rotation_up": 28.17,
        "upward_expansion": 16.98,
        "deceleration": 44.99,
        "rotation_down": 24.27,
        "downward_expansion": 53.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        180.666663,
        179.123633,
        180.326665,
        182.32172
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 180.399994,
    "trend_reference": 185.546666,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.027738,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 186.903846,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.034798,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -16.514114,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.095739,
    "excess_performance": -0.157234,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027738,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036605,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034798,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001212,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.165141,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0033,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.095739,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.236403,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 64149,
      "relative_activity": 0.743816,
      "balance": 0.236403,
      "dry_up": 0.503889,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048951,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.274069,
      "from_high_reference": -0.172477,
      "from_low_reference": 0.059929
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 185.546666,
      "fair_value_reference": 186.903846,
      "structural_low": 170.199997,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.021666,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012207,
        "regime_survival": 0.818182,
        "best_return": 0.182584,
        "worst_return": -0.222798,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.036085,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.054543,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.153359,
        "worst_return": -0.176879,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.028271,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.067318,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.185044,
        "worst_return": -0.087861,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.032609,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.232871,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.080925,
        "worst_return": -0.121154,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.007487,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.073839,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.058824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 186.800003,
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        "typical_volume": 101431.1,
        "trend": 194.933334,
        "fair_value": 186.329487,
        "relative_strength": -13.705457,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.496437,
        "energy": 19.211394,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 87210.45,
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        "fair_value": 186.308975,
        "relative_strength": -16.844086,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 84748.05,
        "trend": 193.530001,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 57.588122,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 185.0,
        "volume": 44977,
        "typical_volume": 84413.45,
        "trend": 192.796667,
        "fair_value": 186.392308,
        "relative_strength": -15.562861,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -54.006956,
        "energy": 52.004404,
        "activity_lines": [
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          189.885378
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 191.0,
        "volume": 51012,
        "typical_volume": 84126.4,
        "trend": 192.596667,
        "fair_value": 186.507693,
        "relative_strength": -12.24102,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.364809,
        "energy": 36.293939,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 174.0,
        "volume": 11186,
        "typical_volume": 82075.95,
        "trend": 191.996667,
        "fair_value": 186.571795,
        "relative_strength": -19.102253,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 47.486004,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 178.199997,
        "volume": 3459,
        "typical_volume": 76758.4,
        "trend": 191.736667,
        "fair_value": 186.621795,
        "relative_strength": -16.670899,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 32.505582,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 45733,
        "typical_volume": 73270.05,
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        "fair_value": 186.683334,
        "relative_strength": -19.72312,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 189.95,
        "fair_value": 186.757693,
        "relative_strength": -18.571326,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 60.919713,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 4695,
        "typical_volume": 52394.75,
        "trend": 188.863334,
        "fair_value": 186.762821,
        "relative_strength": -18.026014,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.724699,
        "energy": 49.928585,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 175.199997,
        "volume": 758979,
        "typical_volume": 88518.7,
        "trend": 187.77,
        "fair_value": 186.775641,
        "relative_strength": -17.719217,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.847446,
        "energy": 45.377288,
        "activity_lines": [
          176.186663,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 179.800003,
        "volume": 23490,
        "typical_volume": 88013.35,
        "trend": 187.263334,
        "fair_value": 186.828205,
        "relative_strength": -14.262783,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.603838,
        "energy": 31.669242,
        "activity_lines": [
          177.373332,
          177.825453,
          180.619524,
          183.367957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 181.199997,
        "volume": 52556,
        "typical_volume": 88601.5,
        "trend": 186.686667,
        "fair_value": 186.830769,
        "relative_strength": -14.474258,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.563197,
        "energy": 19.317163,
        "activity_lines": [
          178.919998,
          178.283634,
          180.469999,
          182.976774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 182.399994,
        "volume": 33633,
        "typical_volume": 87643.25,
        "trend": 186.266667,
        "fair_value": 186.869231,
        "relative_strength": -14.548123,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.152298,
        "energy": 16.051822,
        "activity_lines": [
          180.399997,
          178.861815,
          180.490951,
          182.700215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 180.399994,
        "volume": 64149,
        "typical_volume": 86243.15,
        "trend": 185.546666,
        "fair_value": 186.903846,
        "relative_strength": -16.514114,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.725583,
        "energy": 16.993071,
        "activity_lines": [
          180.666663,
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          180.326665,
          182.32172
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}