{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "17efdd5d-1fc4-4c0e-9612-dcec6cc8ded5",
    "symbol": "FCUV",
    "name": "Fidelity U.S. Value ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.433,
    "architecture_energy": 69.071,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.113,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.36,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.35,
        "rotation_up": 62.6,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 65.2,
        "rotation_down": 26.66,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.993333,
        27.782929,
        27.092845,
        26.376901
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 28.559999,
    "trend_reference": 25.540282,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.118233,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.244326,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.410766,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.839109,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.17761,
    "excess_performance": 0.057189,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118233,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048733,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.410766,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077033,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038391,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042942,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.17761,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.917337,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 260400,
      "relative_activity": 1.081418,
      "balance": 1.917337,
      "dry_up": 1.625241,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024626,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.120661,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012448,
      "from_low_reference": 0.359594
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.540282,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.244326,
      "structural_low": 22.945074,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.019351,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00554,
        "regime_survival": 0.825,
        "best_return": 0.06987,
        "worst_return": -0.055498,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.04515,
        "positive_rate": 0.642857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.642857,
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        "regime_survival": 0.642857,
        "best_return": 0.127128,
        "worst_return": -0.114607,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.089613,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 7.8e-05,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.19272,
        "worst_return": -0.087134,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.122881,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.043628,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-09-29",
        "end": "2023-12-01",
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        "return": 0.042857,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009872,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-05-02",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010384,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 245335.0,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 5.825161,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 19.899605,
        "relative_strength": 4.241243,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 219150.0,
        "trend": 25.17302,
        "fair_value": 19.983258,
        "relative_strength": 2.734402,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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          27.587973,
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          26.45832,
          25.84091
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.75,
        "volume": 303500,
        "typical_volume": 224330.0,
        "trend": 25.27645,
        "fair_value": 20.068637,
        "relative_strength": 3.947938,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 70.726711,
        "energy": 66.826158,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.650667,
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          26.660366,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.860001,
        "volume": 379000,
        "typical_volume": 236270.0,
        "trend": 25.412668,
        "fair_value": 20.154528,
        "relative_strength": 4.694329,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.614363,
        "energy": 64.36141,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.726667,
          27.565693,
          26.853668,
          26.173848
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.559999,
        "volume": 260400,
        "typical_volume": 240795.0,
        "trend": 25.540282,
        "fair_value": 20.244326,
        "relative_strength": 3.839109,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.432649,
        "energy": 69.071281,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.993333,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}