{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1802abe9-6bbf-4396-9221-cd47cb94f7b0",
    "symbol": "ORE",
    "name": "Orezone Gold Corporation",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 32.027,
    "architecture_energy": 12.702,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.074,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.449,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 61.81,
        "rotation_up": 34.71,
        "upward_expansion": 32.46,
        "deceleration": 62.33,
        "rotation_down": 39.11,
        "downward_expansion": 20.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.378667,
        2.355455,
        2.343095,
        2.336817
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.76,
    "trend_reference": 2.347667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.175635,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.231442,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.241274,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 25.703601,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.061538,
    "excess_performance": -0.058883,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.175635,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112638,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.241274,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.289681,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.257036,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063607,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061538,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.565373,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8528200,
      "relative_activity": 1.455703,
      "balance": 1.565373,
      "dry_up": 0.981518,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.104515,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.669026,
      "from_high_reference": -0.073826,
      "from_low_reference": 1.603774
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.347667,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.231442,
      "structural_low": 1.84,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.016009,
        "positive_rate": 0.5625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015741,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.238095,
        "worst_return": -0.202899,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.054848,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.038661,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.451613,
        "worst_return": -0.202381,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.055172,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.073361,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.114754,
        "worst_return": -0.251969,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.059524,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.101254,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.057377,
        "worst_return": -0.357664,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-07-14",
        "end": "2023-07-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.031008,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-07-28",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.285714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.130952,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.027778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.162162,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.290323,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.046512,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.414634,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.155172,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.076389,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.227941,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.202454,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.019324,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.221239,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.91,
        "volume": 2356700,
        "typical_volume": 922635.0,
        "trend": 1.304,
        "fair_value": 1.234808,
        "relative_strength": -29.364504,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 24.152796,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 8984305.0,
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        "fair_value": 1.200994,
        "relative_strength": 12.364799,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.556657,
        "energy": 19.201517,
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          2.378667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.11,
        "volume": 4867100,
        "typical_volume": 7718940.0,
        "trend": 2.295,
        "fair_value": 1.206506,
        "relative_strength": 1.64772,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 0.040047,
        "energy": 2.64959,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.296,
          2.328364,
          2.314429,
          2.321656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.26,
        "volume": 4650900,
        "typical_volume": 7315270.0,
        "trend": 2.308667,
        "fair_value": 1.213365,
        "relative_strength": 7.760219,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -5.152611,
        "energy": 8.749244,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.272667,
          2.311818,
          2.311667,
          2.319398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.14,
        "volume": 4954600,
        "typical_volume": 7064085.0,
        "trend": 2.321333,
        "fair_value": 1.220096,
        "relative_strength": 1.766802,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.262895,
        "energy": 35.132323,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.216667,
          2.275273,
          2.29781,
          2.308516
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.76,
        "volume": 8528200,
        "typical_volume": 5858475.0,
        "trend": 2.347667,
        "fair_value": 1.231442,
        "relative_strength": 25.703601,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.027298,
        "energy": 12.702154,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.378667,
          2.355455,
          2.343095,
          2.336817
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}