{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1802cbfd-cf3a-445e-aa4e-c7a2814d3312", "symbol": "FNOVA17", "name": "Fibra Nova", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 53.588, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.566, "architecture_energy": 48.727, "architecture_maturity": 39.528, "architecture_confidence": 56.321, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.45, "rotation_up": 66.82, "upward_expansion": 63.55, "deceleration": 68.28, "rotation_down": 15.78, "downward_expansion": 22.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.955331, 27.843875, 27.886955, 27.801214 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 28.15, "trend_reference": 27.622293, "distance_from_trend": 0.019104, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.539756, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.102203, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.270665, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.045359, "excess_performance": 0.100026, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.019104, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011358, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.102203, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014774, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.012707, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067138, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.045359, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 5.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.00555, "annualized_volatility": 0.068306, "from_high_reference": -0.020302, "from_low_reference": 0.068403 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.622293, "fair_value_reference": 25.539756, "structural_low": 26.928549, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, 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"fair_value": 25.421685, "relative_strength": -1.099768, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": -27.068911, "energy": 52.471517, "activity_lines": [ 27.652217, 27.844542, 27.847902, 27.708636 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.527771, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 27.514111, "fair_value": 25.449287, "relative_strength": -1.054339, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -22.07028, "energy": 52.648447, "activity_lines": [ 27.569253, 27.765349, 27.824173, 27.710806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.527771, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 27.534085, "fair_value": 25.476426, "relative_strength": -0.474182, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.714489, "energy": 55.512207, "activity_lines": [ 27.527771, 27.69747, 27.800446, 27.711687 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.353333, "volume": 88588, "typical_volume": 4429.4, "trend": 27.581577, "fair_value": 25.508507, "relative_strength": 1.84814, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.224988, "energy": 27.056855, "activity_lines": [ 27.802958, 27.791006, 27.855347, 27.764542 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.15, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4429.4, "trend": 27.622293, "fair_value": 25.539756, "relative_strength": 1.270665, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.566269, "energy": 48.727105, "activity_lines": [ 27.955331, 27.843875, 27.886955, 27.801214 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }