{ "ticker": { "uuid": "18123900-1efb-46ae-809b-60833627fe3d", "symbol": "DDM", "name": "PROSHARES TRUST PSHS ULTRA DOW30", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.396, "architecture_energy": 58.992, "architecture_maturity": 49.742, "architecture_confidence": 85.207, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.78, "rotation_up": 59.21, "upward_expansion": 82.07, "deceleration": 62.84, "rotation_down": 23.75, "downward_expansion": 8.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 66.598667, 65.852917, 63.767886, 61.798947 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 69.42, "trend_reference": 60.013505, "distance_from_trend": 0.15674, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 47.429437, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.463648, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.634799, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.13453, "excess_performance": 0.008905, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.15674, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049931, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.463648, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.143843, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.076348, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088784, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.13453, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.34701, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 784558, "relative_activity": 0.776902, "balance": 1.34701, "dry_up": 0.939239, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043163, "annualized_volatility": 0.233608, "from_high_reference": -0.025684, "from_low_reference": 0.447574 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 60.013505, "fair_value_reference": 47.429437, "structural_low": 49.26, "invalidation": "A 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"modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.988965, "energy": 80.460243, "activity_lines": [ 65.418871, 64.039843, 61.278027, 60.050445 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 64.98, "volume": 660709, "typical_volume": 1230060.95, "trend": 59.221125, "fair_value": 46.812119, "relative_strength": 5.569471, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.719744, "energy": 76.315207, "activity_lines": [ 65.492682, 64.43725, 61.855328, 60.439307 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 64.34, "volume": 1152723, "typical_volume": 1212613.45, "trend": 59.423889, "fair_value": 47.001731, "relative_strength": 4.967574, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.251468, "energy": 65.046797, "activity_lines": [ 65.210667, 64.612155, 62.340184, 60.769557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 65.66, "volume": 1195990, "typical_volume": 1140239.1, "trend": 59.700565, "fair_value": 47.204828, "relative_strength": 5.689946, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.22911, "energy": 51.269579, "activity_lines": [ 65.328, 64.928934, 62.905741, 61.171887 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 69.42, "volume": 784558, "typical_volume": 1009854.85, "trend": 60.013505, "fair_value": 47.429437, "relative_strength": 7.634799, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.39624, "energy": 58.991654, "activity_lines": [ 66.598667, 65.852917, 63.767886, 61.798947 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }