{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1816475b-b2cf-4aab-a6a7-972c3d73c04f",
    "symbol": "TIF1",
    "name": "Thai Industrial Fund 1",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.278,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.084,
    "architecture_energy": 63.359,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.308,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.71,
        "rotation_up": 53.16,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 68.02,
        "rotation_down": 29.59,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.976667,
        7.966364,
        7.839222,
        7.718279
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 7.95,
    "trend_reference": 7.545362,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.053627,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.899313,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.152289,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.837516,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.119692,
    "excess_performance": -0.072633,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053627,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049132,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.152289,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060247,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048375,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015681,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119692,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.951403,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 64400,
      "relative_activity": 1.461975,
      "balance": 1.951403,
      "dry_up": 1.247446,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.012012,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.075404,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012422,
      "from_low_reference": 0.263017
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.545362,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.899313,
      "structural_low": 6.855334,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.005731,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000632,
        "regime_survival": 0.875,
        "best_return": 0.042229,
        "worst_return": -0.087719,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.021677,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014313,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.07483,
        "worst_return": -0.068769,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.029816,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023145,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.079871,
        "worst_return": -0.116349,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.001185,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.092661,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.119185,
        "worst_return": -0.071445,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-11-03",
        "end": "2023-11-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005814,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-11-24",
        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.004039,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.011696,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.029023,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.0125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.049893,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.039474,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.010406,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.014184,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.027697,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.007042,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028828,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.151456,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 41300.0,
        "trend": 6.960633,
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        "relative_strength": -4.476618,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 30.363115,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "energy": 35.67783,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 7.160548,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 52.768613,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "energy": 88.784943,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -2.1136,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 89.665381,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.502753
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.95,
        "volume": 3700,
        "typical_volume": 46975.0,
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        "fair_value": 6.868189,
        "relative_strength": -5.470276,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 44465.0,
        "trend": 7.410763,
        "fair_value": 6.874444,
        "relative_strength": -4.659126,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.880782,
        "energy": 94.188716,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.0,
        "volume": 22800,
        "typical_volume": 42420.0,
        "trend": 7.445654,
        "fair_value": 6.880885,
        "relative_strength": -6.105385,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.588199,
        "energy": 88.645871,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.986667,
          7.921991,
          7.747589,
          7.62387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.95,
        "volume": 106700,
        "typical_volume": 45660.0,
        "trend": 7.478879,
        "fair_value": 6.887259,
        "relative_strength": -6.788066,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.807009,
        "energy": 67.074186,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.98,
          7.941853,
          7.779403,
          7.656409
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.0,
        "volume": 25900,
        "typical_volume": 46045.0,
        "trend": 7.512137,
        "fair_value": 6.893446,
        "relative_strength": -4.975302,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.419361,
        "energy": 67.955203,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.99,
          7.961818,
          7.81336,
          7.69003
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.95,
        "volume": 64400,
        "typical_volume": 44050.0,
        "trend": 7.545362,
        "fair_value": 6.899313,
        "relative_strength": -4.837516,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.083517,
        "energy": 63.358926,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.976667,
          7.966364,
          7.839222,
          7.718279
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}