{ "ticker": { "uuid": "181caa06-1844-4926-9774-9801399b4a97", "symbol": "F86", "name": "MYP Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.091, "architecture_energy": 61.693, "architecture_maturity": 68.416, "architecture_confidence": 83.103, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.04, "rotation_up": 16.51, "upward_expansion": 17.62, "deceleration": 32.33, "rotation_down": 64.23, "downward_expansion": 83.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.056667, 0.058345, 0.060276, 0.061551 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.055, "trend_reference": 0.063233, "distance_from_trend": -0.130206, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.053109, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.035607, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.207096, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.126984, "excess_performance": -0.281819, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.130206, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059028, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.035607, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.215936, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.332071, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192961, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.126984, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.537103, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11700, "relative_activity": 0.037199, "balance": 2.537103, "dry_up": 0.218186, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106294, "annualized_volatility": 0.452817, "from_high_reference": -0.402174, "from_low_reference": 0.037736 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.063233, "fair_value_reference": 0.053109, "structural_low": 0.053, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.008333, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": -0.012777, "regime_survival": 0.794118, "best_return": 0.363636, "worst_return": -0.140845, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.091608, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.066273, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.105263, "worst_return": -0.15873, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.149442, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.144185, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.804348, "worst_return": -0.253521, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.12853, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.02032, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.478261, "worst_return": -0.3, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-01-12", "end": "2024-02-02", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.142857, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-02-09", "end": "2024-02-16", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.403226, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-02-23", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.138889, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.078947, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-09-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.076923, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.021277, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.020408, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.043478, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.043478, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.608696, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.106667, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.195122, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.030303, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.225352, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.042, "volume": 3500, "typical_volume": 20185.0, "trend": 0.0476, "fair_value": 0.070571, "relative_strength": -17.864026, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.378212, "energy": 18.44567, "activity_lines": [ 0.0622, 0.0622, 0.0629, 0.063634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.056, "volume": 99800, "typical_volume": 361300.0, "trend": 0.064267, "fair_value": 0.052891, "relative_strength": -32.660982, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.262118, "energy": 38.168554, "activity_lines": [ 0.060333, 0.060982, 0.062152, 0.06308 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.053, "volume": 12000, "typical_volume": 316495.0, "trend": 0.063833, "fair_value": 0.05291, "relative_strength": -36.106399, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.84294, "energy": 45.508883, "activity_lines": [ 0.057733, 0.059382, 0.06119, 0.062353 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.06, "volume": 151000, "typical_volume": 315255.0, "trend": 0.0636, "fair_value": 0.053026, "relative_strength": -27.213901, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.08318, "energy": 42.576613, "activity_lines": [ 0.058133, 0.059291, 0.060952, 0.062105 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.055, "volume": 11700, "typical_volume": 314525.0, "trend": 0.063233, "fair_value": 0.053109, "relative_strength": -33.207096, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.090505, "energy": 61.693226, "activity_lines": [ 0.056667, 0.058345, 0.060276, 0.061551 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }