{ "ticker": { "uuid": "182f31fb-47af-4faa-8891-c6c54210b254", "symbol": "INVX", "name": "Innovex International, Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 40.774, "architecture_energy": 23.817, "architecture_maturity": 23.188, "architecture_confidence": 70.163, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.4, "rotation_up": 52.6, "upward_expansion": 66.33, "deceleration": 58.48, "rotation_down": 13.72, "downward_expansion": 9.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.358, 26.659818, 26.819905, 26.590452 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 28.1, "trend_reference": 26.208, "distance_from_trend": 0.072192, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.37391, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.379215, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.946117, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.108481, "excess_performance": -0.017144, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.072192, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057414, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.379215, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062383, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.069461, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.081069, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.108481, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.246085, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6064174, "relative_activity": 2.73569, "balance": 2.246085, "dry_up": 1.256747, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112385, "annualized_volatility": 0.441519, "from_high_reference": -0.166419, "from_low_reference": 0.782995 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.208, "fair_value_reference": 20.37391, "structural_low": 22.21, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.02569, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": -0.01318, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.378788, "worst_return": -0.286689, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.103266, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.092751, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.312644, "worst_return": -0.266694, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.238041, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.271286, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.621008, "worst_return": -0.383139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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26.81819, 26.32043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 24.09, "volume": 1809280, "typical_volume": 2615155.95, "trend": 25.482333, "fair_value": 20.353654, "relative_strength": -2.089541, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.756242, "energy": 11.062459, "activity_lines": [ 25.638, 26.542909, 26.597333, 26.232 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 25.47, "volume": 1564802, "typical_volume": 2617646.3, "trend": 25.580667, "fair_value": 20.357308, "relative_strength": 1.682427, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.141029, "energy": 20.215296, "activity_lines": [ 25.372667, 26.257818, 26.511095, 26.231204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.78, "volume": 1416138, "typical_volume": 2296618.75, "trend": 25.718333, "fair_value": 20.362436, "relative_strength": 3.964796, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.973843, "energy": 18.382792, "activity_lines": [ 25.298667, 26.069455, 26.454381, 26.244065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.84, "volume": 1684144, "typical_volume": 2136483.65, "trend": 25.878, "fair_value": 20.3725, "relative_strength": 8.280075, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.392613, "energy": 9.857398, "activity_lines": [ 25.822667, 26.088727, 26.501333, 26.31643 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.08, "volume": 1978814, "typical_volume": 2069829.15, "trend": 26.054667, "fair_value": 20.374615, "relative_strength": 11.292261, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.664603, "energy": 17.966498, "activity_lines": [ 26.675333, 26.354545, 26.668905, 26.458495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.1, "volume": 6064174, "typical_volume": 2216688.9, "trend": 26.208, "fair_value": 20.37391, "relative_strength": 6.946117, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.773704, "energy": 23.816744, "activity_lines": [ 27.358, 26.659818, 26.819905, 26.590452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }