{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1831c7fc-423b-41b6-9719-181fcaadd151", "symbol": "XZEZ", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI EMU ESG UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 95.365, "architecture_energy": 77.776, "architecture_maturity": 49.757, "architecture_confidence": 78.495, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.03, "rotation_up": 71.38, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 63.21, "rotation_down": 24.36, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 84.575333, 83.761272, 81.448428, 79.434946 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 86.75, "trend_reference": 77.348333, "distance_from_trend": 0.12155, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 71.435366, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.214384, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.966449, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.164273, "excess_performance": 0.08139, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.12155, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034387, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.214384, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117748, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.019664, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041185, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.164273, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 1.136653, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014196, "annualized_volatility": 0.145517, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.257611 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 77.348333, "fair_value_reference": 71.435366, "structural_low": 68.980003, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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77.027677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 82.510002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 212.6, "trend": 76.223666, "fair_value": 70.858636, "relative_strength": -1.583892, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.602078, "energy": 88.87442, "activity_lines": [ 82.789334, 81.500363, 78.797381, 77.448602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 83.139999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 212.6, "trend": 76.475, "fair_value": 70.994469, "relative_strength": -1.406462, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.880978, "energy": 89.058994, "activity_lines": [ 82.978, 82.042727, 79.413333, 77.894817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 83.269997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 212.6, "trend": 76.730666, "fair_value": 71.125302, "relative_strength": -0.961008, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.295607, "energy": 82.324947, "activity_lines": [ 83.084666, 82.488363, 80.009237, 78.333204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 84.07, "volume": 1251, "typical_volume": 275.15, "trend": 77.012333, "fair_value": 71.269918, "relative_strength": 0.043507, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.362336, "energy": 71.831701, "activity_lines": [ 83.437333, 82.938727, 80.630856, 78.806709 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 86.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 275.15, "trend": 77.348333, "fair_value": 71.435366, "relative_strength": 1.966449, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.364853, "energy": 77.775598, "activity_lines": [ 84.575333, 83.761272, 81.448428, 79.434946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }