{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "183442d9-334e-4d36-9323-077c438f81e8",
    "symbol": "603976",
    "name": "ChongQing Zhengchuan Pharmaceutical Packaging Co.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 55.008,
    "architecture_energy": 30.518,
    "architecture_maturity": 61.149,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.876,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.75,
        "rotation_up": 38.56,
        "upward_expansion": 62.05,
        "deceleration": 88.14,
        "rotation_down": 23.8,
        "downward_expansion": 14.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.205334,
        26.233637,
        24.820736,
        23.615788
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 28.530001,
    "trend_reference": 22.252301,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.282115,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 18.086956,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.57738,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 34.427674,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.425666,
    "excess_performance": 0.46887,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.282115,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097906,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.57738,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.364867,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.344277,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.357224,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.425666,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.526817,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 25298617,
      "relative_activity": 1.36386,
      "balance": 0.526817,
      "dry_up": 1.693391,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.128765,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.499283,
      "from_high_reference": -0.03907,
      "from_low_reference": 0.655929
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.252301,
      "fair_value_reference": 18.086956,
      "structural_low": 17.229004,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.022369,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023795,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.108322,
        "worst_return": -0.027424,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.017798,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004377,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.086526,
        "worst_return": -0.05093,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.125832,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.06075,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.3261,
        "worst_return": -0.074437,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.342844,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.04242,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.342844,
        "worst_return": 0.342844,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.102075,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.00146,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.051241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.054455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.13144,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.045403,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.070704,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.114745,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.032321,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.079335,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 14600733.15,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 25.200001,
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        "typical_volume": 16063129.2,
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        "fair_value": 17.982812,
        "relative_strength": 23.213951,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.57,
        "volume": 34951721,
        "typical_volume": 17557781.0,
        "trend": 21.93711,
        "fair_value": 18.023138,
        "relative_strength": 19.35821,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.844236,
        "energy": 23.982036,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.530001,
        "volume": 25298617,
        "typical_volume": 18549274.5,
        "trend": 22.252301,
        "fair_value": 18.086956,
        "relative_strength": 34.427674,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.007999,
        "energy": 30.518252,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}