{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1839b590-eb81-4101-959b-660ea18ec789",
    "symbol": "PHE-B",
    "name": "Purpose Tactical Hedged Equity Fund Ser ETF Non-Ccy Hdg",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 51.716,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 91.754,
    "architecture_energy": 72.497,
    "architecture_maturity": 55.038,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.025,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.42,
        "rotation_up": 64.34,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 68.24,
        "rotation_down": 24.65,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        46.27486
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 48.490002,
    "trend_reference": 45.727167,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.06042,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 40.121573,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.208577,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.055512,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.074452,
    "excess_performance": -0.04597,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06042,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012705,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.208577,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034345,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050555,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029128,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074452,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.744681,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.744681,
      "dry_up": 0.537249,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.011025,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.084576,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002879,
      "from_low_reference": 0.136129
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 40.121573,
      "structural_low": 43.259998,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
        "median_return": 0.012105,
        "positive_rate": 0.659091,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.659091,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007236,
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        "worst_return": -0.059975,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.054829,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.898331,
        "energy": 31.797321,
        "activity_lines": [
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          44.7195,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 45.41,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 5500.0,
        "trend": 45.0525,
        "fair_value": 38.787249,
        "relative_strength": -8.210712,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.697885,
        "energy": 39.84559,
        "activity_lines": [
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          44.772381,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 45.650002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 5175.0,
        "trend": 45.0735,
        "fair_value": 38.87647,
        "relative_strength": -7.968299,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.233001,
        "energy": 45.680052,
        "activity_lines": [
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          44.846548,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 45.939999,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 5180.0,
        "trend": 45.1055,
        "fair_value": 38.965972,
        "relative_strength": -6.438834,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.093531,
        "energy": 67.204381,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.691334,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 46.060001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4915.0,
        "trend": 45.1365,
        "fair_value": 39.057063,
        "relative_strength": -7.682934,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.942869,
        "energy": 68.67185,
        "activity_lines": [
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          45.049738,
          45.057194
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 46.209999,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 4730.0,
        "trend": 45.1535,
        "fair_value": 39.151766,
        "relative_strength": -7.906901,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 51.617871,
        "energy": 74.58725,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.988,
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          45.164095,
          45.126452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 46.57,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4725.0,
        "trend": 45.191167,
        "fair_value": 39.247199,
        "relative_strength": -6.007449,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.92164,
        "energy": 88.996544,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.226667,
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          45.312072,
          45.217839
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 46.48,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4720.0,
        "trend": 45.2215,
        "fair_value": 39.342056,
        "relative_strength": -7.349229,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.789457,
        "energy": 89.332917,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4720.0,
        "trend": 45.283834,
        "fair_value": 39.444825,
        "relative_strength": -5.431075,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.425582,
        "energy": 96.22637,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 46.709999,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 4600.0,
        "trend": 45.305167,
        "fair_value": 39.539137,
        "relative_strength": -6.507108,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.572111,
        "energy": 85.176444,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.787999,
          46.471091,
          45.804857,
          45.531613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 47.200001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4495.0,
        "trend": 45.3565,
        "fair_value": 39.638104,
        "relative_strength": -6.004375,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.830793,
        "energy": 88.328586,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.965333,
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          45.983881,
          45.65386
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 47.52,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 4155.0,
        "trend": 45.437834,
        "fair_value": 39.737356,
        "relative_strength": -5.264329,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.751994,
        "energy": 91.927639,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.183333,
          46.864545,
          46.180952,
          45.793441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 47.25,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 4135.0,
        "trend": 45.5175,
        "fair_value": 39.834687,
        "relative_strength": -5.426179,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.005682,
        "energy": 83.83798,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.248,
          46.988,
          46.341071,
          45.910355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.799999,
        "volume": 4200,
        "typical_volume": 3910.0,
        "trend": 45.576167,
        "fair_value": 39.926232,
        "relative_strength": -6.320632,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.911351,
        "energy": 72.627828,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.111333,
          47.000545,
          46.44719,
          45.993097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 47.099998,
        "volume": 3200,
        "typical_volume": 3770.0,
        "trend": 45.6465,
        "fair_value": 40.019637,
        "relative_strength": -5.016174,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.307446,
        "energy": 62.192625,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.112666,
          47.051999,
          46.571976,
          46.091408
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 48.490002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3490.0,
        "trend": 45.727167,
        "fair_value": 40.121573,
        "relative_strength": -5.055512,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.754051,
        "energy": 72.496544,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.551333,
          47.337273,
          46.813619,
          46.27486
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}