{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1848d3f1-4060-4d30-a3fb-26f72824c6b5", "symbol": "301042", "name": "Zhuhai Raysharp Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.165, "architecture_energy": 90.171, "architecture_maturity": 38.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.618, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.65, "rotation_up": 8.0, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 85.25, "downward_expansion": 100.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.104667, 46.24925, 57.747093, 64.588947 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 32.310001, "trend_reference": 72.006569, "distance_from_trend": -0.551291, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 45.207961, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.285303, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -53.137764, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.61822, "excess_performance": -0.62562, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.551291, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075799, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.285303, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.027471, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.531378, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.540118, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.61822, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.182283, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44697251, "relative_activity": 3.037432, "balance": 1.182283, "dry_up": 2.948663, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.272975, "annualized_volatility": 1.146467, "from_high_reference": -0.708656, "from_low_reference": 0.281126 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.006569, "fair_value_reference": 45.207961, "structural_low": 25.219999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.064192, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.018032, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.369127, "worst_return": -0.532214, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.236558, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.120717, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.41705, "worst_return": -0.065831, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.341552, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.255218, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.860891, "worst_return": -0.010034, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.971403, "energy": 48.095289, "activity_lines": [ 70.160668, 71.428085, 73.620752, 76.199438 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 41.630001, "volume": 20318898, "typical_volume": 8499055.55, "trend": 77.522569, "fair_value": 45.272337, "relative_strength": -38.200718, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -92.774135, "energy": 88.70573, "activity_lines": [ 60.074001, 65.896278, 70.226813, 73.794025 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.709999, "volume": 65316464, "typical_volume": 11418356.0, "trend": 75.703235, "fair_value": 45.236789, "relative_strength": -61.738643, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -96.802883, "energy": 98.071117, "activity_lines": [ 46.972, 58.068283, 65.529303, 70.451278 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.389999, "volume": 43231315, "typical_volume": 12783976.2, "trend": 73.862902, "fair_value": 45.199031, "relative_strength": -59.889883, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -93.548753, "energy": 97.552381, "activity_lines": [ 37.588, 51.201468, 61.194603, 67.269779 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.310001, "volume": 44697251, "typical_volume": 14715476.1, "trend": 72.006569, "fair_value": 45.207961, "relative_strength": -53.137764, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.164629, "energy": 90.17079, "activity_lines": [ 33.104667, 46.24925, 57.747093, 64.588947 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }