{ "ticker": { "uuid": "184a2dd5-4192-4217-9369-eaf7c0b2f4de", "symbol": "1212", "name": "Astra Industrial Group Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 76.7, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.785, "architecture_energy": 34.208, "architecture_maturity": 12.996, "architecture_confidence": 82.598, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.69, "rotation_up": 21.89, "upward_expansion": 6.65, "deceleration": 45.95, "rotation_down": 53.98, "downward_expansion": 79.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 129.026668, 129.785455, 131.986079, 133.909889 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 137.5, "trend_reference": 136.271449, "distance_from_trend": 0.009015, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 140.149148, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.018902, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.228158, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.027983, "excess_performance": 0.003846, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.009015, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009939, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.018902, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015913, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.022282, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064455, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.027983, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.674877, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 968594, "relative_activity": 2.664213, "balance": 0.674877, "dry_up": 1.158627, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046434, "annualized_volatility": 0.284131, "from_high_reference": -0.101133, "from_low_reference": 0.171591 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 136.271449, "fair_value_reference": 140.149148, "structural_low": 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.916832, "energy": 54.724873, "activity_lines": [ 130.22, 131.358182, 134.238018, 135.55412 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 125.900002, "volume": 198917, "typical_volume": 330343.75, "trend": 136.82812, "fair_value": 139.55177, "relative_strength": -6.230953, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.608068, "energy": 66.684783, "activity_lines": [ 128.386668, 130.247273, 133.21125, 134.828209 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 121.400002, "volume": 298085, "typical_volume": 324080.2, "trend": 136.305841, "fair_value": 139.802174, "relative_strength": -7.620648, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.067233, "energy": 80.059928, "activity_lines": [ 125.653335, 128.456364, 131.787724, 133.832846 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 137.5, "volume": 968594, "typical_volume": 363557.2, "trend": 136.271449, "fair_value": 140.149148, "relative_strength": 2.228158, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.785374, "energy": 34.207576, "activity_lines": [ 129.026668, 129.785455, 131.986079, 133.909889 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }