{ "ticker": { "uuid": "184a5916-3274-4ebf-a306-f5d9efc12b56", "symbol": "EEIQ", "name": "Elite Education Group International Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.141, "architecture_energy": 57.128, "architecture_maturity": 28.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.925, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.93, "rotation_up": 15.21, "upward_expansion": 12.09, "deceleration": 39.14, "rotation_down": 63.42, "downward_expansion": 87.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.278333, 2.513091, 2.892238, 3.122241 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.335, "trend_reference": 3.35198, "distance_from_trend": -0.303397, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.965691, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.804859, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -59.139401, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.322481, "excess_performance": -0.509935, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.303397, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.173023, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.804859, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059633, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.591394, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038418, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.322481, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.637469, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 77416, "relative_activity": 0.010083, "balance": 3.637469, "dry_up": 0.010694, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.401894, "annualized_volatility": 2.24673, "from_high_reference": -0.916123, "from_low_reference": 0.228947 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.35198, "fair_value_reference": 11.965691, "structural_low": 1.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.015921, "positive_rate": 0.44, "directional_follow_through": 0.56, "median_excess_return": -0.044571, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 2.152174, "worst_return": -0.332637, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.014799, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.132744, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.284238, "worst_return": -0.449028, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.238488, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.301517, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.395349, "worst_return": -0.54174, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.205314, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.573228, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": -0.128579, "worst_return": -0.37806, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.202206, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.289996, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.014423, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.046226, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.217476, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.08493, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.037723, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.020693, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.576048, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.172692, 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.093726, "energy": 49.868167, "activity_lines": [ 2.73, 2.905636, 3.261762, 3.377465 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.16, "volume": 68810, "typical_volume": 7691300.55, "trend": 3.506013, "fair_value": 12.207262, "relative_strength": -62.609263, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.978019, "energy": 56.506638, "activity_lines": [ 2.492667, 2.756909, 3.134714, 3.286507 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.06, "volume": 50167, "typical_volume": 7677602.85, "trend": 3.435107, "fair_value": 12.075851, "relative_strength": -63.269653, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.715712, "energy": 60.269536, "activity_lines": [ 2.308, 2.602, 2.99881, 3.193215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.335, "volume": 77416, "typical_volume": 7677823.45, "trend": 3.35198, "fair_value": 11.965691, "relative_strength": -59.139401, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.141381, "energy": 57.127673, "activity_lines": [ 2.278333, 2.513091, 2.892238, 3.122241 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }