{ "ticker": { "uuid": "185ae8c0-5ca3-4d7f-8586-a91647495e9d", "symbol": "9578", "name": "Atlas Elevators General Trading & Contracting Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 61.558, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -29.132, "architecture_energy": 36.644, "architecture_maturity": 6.805, "architecture_confidence": 62.084, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.25, "rotation_up": 18.88, "upward_expansion": 13.05, "deceleration": 50.57, "rotation_down": 57.09, "downward_expansion": 50.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.622, 9.738303, 9.966094, 9.970805 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.78, "trend_reference": 9.87943, "distance_from_trend": -0.010064, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.118801, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.120409, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.262523, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.037589, "excess_performance": 0.069419, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010064, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000358, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.120409, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069849, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.012625, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048576, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.037589, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.603944, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 89430, "relative_activity": 1.43381, "balance": 0.603944, "dry_up": 1.103908, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047226, "annualized_volatility": 0.218209, "from_high_reference": -0.19129, "from_low_reference": 0.113185 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.87943, "fair_value_reference": 11.118801, "structural_low": 8.87, "invalidation": "A renewed decline 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"start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.017305, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.00811, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.052664, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.017938, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.031031, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.002041, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { 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9.870967, "fair_value": 11.128098, "relative_strength": -5.367443, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.416999, "energy": 52.909099, "activity_lines": [ 9.604, 9.767632, 9.995752, 9.976674 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.78, "volume": 89430, "typical_volume": 62372.3, "trend": 9.87943, "fair_value": 11.118801, "relative_strength": -1.262523, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.132263, "energy": 36.643894, "activity_lines": [ 9.622, 9.738303, 9.966094, 9.970805 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }