{ "ticker": { "uuid": "185dc969-aee2-4f32-bc4e-f8b1cce967a1", "symbol": "1806", "name": "Champion Building Materials Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.785, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.582, "architecture_energy": 30.893, "architecture_maturity": 10.999, "architecture_confidence": 86.095, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.12, "rotation_up": 17.91, "upward_expansion": 12.76, "deceleration": 49.05, "rotation_down": 51.98, "downward_expansion": 71.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.024167, 8.078362, 8.071467, 8.143733 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.98, "trend_reference": 8.29077, "distance_from_trend": -0.037484, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.27744, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.139849, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -35.568197, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.076654, "excess_performance": -0.518026, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037484, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031191, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.139849, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015553, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.355682, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075329, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.076654, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.134124, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 634271, "relative_activity": 0.274614, "balance": 1.134124, "dry_up": 0.447033, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034212, "annualized_volatility": 0.16183, "from_high_reference": -0.251111, "from_low_reference": 0.02594 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.29077, "fair_value_reference": 9.27744, "structural_low": 7.778234, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.010771, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.004612, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.236142, "worst_return": -0.110236, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.045395, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.030627, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.145038, "worst_return": -0.165354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.06359, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.138628, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.150055, "worst_return": -0.110236, "sufficient": 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"relative_strength": -34.136794, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.869851, "energy": 13.524606, "activity_lines": [ 8.178632, 8.125378, 8.111923, 8.211272 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.03, "volume": 1310798, "typical_volume": 2375571.7, "trend": 8.344102, "fair_value": 9.289309, "relative_strength": -33.493523, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.19406, "energy": 12.230131, "activity_lines": [ 8.134941, 8.117958, 8.099473, 8.188888 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.98, "volume": 878141, "typical_volume": 2329294.75, "trend": 8.315799, "fair_value": 9.283893, "relative_strength": -34.43899, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.641571, "energy": 23.927127, "activity_lines": [ 8.066965, 8.099369, 8.084337, 8.165397 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 7.98, "volume": 634271, "typical_volume": 2309684.0, "trend": 8.29077, "fair_value": 9.27744, "relative_strength": -35.568197, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.581818, "energy": 30.892543, "activity_lines": [ 8.024167, 8.078362, 8.071467, 8.143733 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }