{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "186213ef-3d7e-4f93-9ccc-418f90158826",
    "symbol": "PSCQ",
    "name": "PACER SWAN SOS CONSERVATIVE (OCTOBER) ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 56.727,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.885,
    "architecture_energy": 86.06,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.269,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.439,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.93,
        "rotation_up": 67.85,
        "upward_expansion": 93.36,
        "deceleration": 45.65,
        "rotation_down": 25.62,
        "downward_expansion": 17.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        31.494487,
        31.345224,
        31.094469,
        30.72669
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 31.7749,
    "trend_reference": 30.308007,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.0484,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.884487,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.181905,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.921997,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.072028,
    "excess_performance": -0.053597,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0484,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021095,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.181905,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004117,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04922,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003376,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072028,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.603493,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1916,
      "relative_activity": 0.520122,
      "balance": 2.603493,
      "dry_up": 0.535256,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.007742,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.066271,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.123332
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 30.308007,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.884487,
      "structural_low": 28.4494,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.007962,
        "positive_rate": 0.815789,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.815789,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004007,
        "regime_survival": 0.947368,
        "best_return": 0.039136,
        "worst_return": -0.064163,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.028326,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020189,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.057257,
        "worst_return": -0.075714,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_return": 0.06214,
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        "worst_return": -0.055163,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.016368,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2023-10-27",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
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        "energy": 58.609176,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 5090.35,
        "trend": 29.432383,
        "fair_value": 26.064904,
        "relative_strength": -3.96815,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": -5.259606,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 92.161182,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": -5.16395,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 78.755106,
        "energy": 91.827496,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -4.176023,
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        "energy": 81.700235,
        "activity_lines": [
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          30.189901,
          29.991856
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 3610.8,
        "trend": 29.806207,
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        "relative_strength": -4.25018,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -4.425455,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 30.83,
        "volume": 11931,
        "typical_volume": 4839.1,
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        "fair_value": 26.533547,
        "relative_strength": -2.977036,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.299815,
        "energy": 61.61793,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.972273,
          30.931051,
          30.47947,
          30.219487
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 31.2114,
        "volume": 560,
        "typical_volume": 4561.95,
        "trend": 29.993883,
        "fair_value": 26.591824,
        "relative_strength": -3.726458,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.163896,
        "energy": 66.783394,
        "activity_lines": [
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          30.301932
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 31.42,
        "volume": 1314,
        "typical_volume": 4419.8,
        "trend": 30.061043,
        "fair_value": 26.650514,
        "relative_strength": -4.238959,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.145439,
        "energy": 85.46306,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.181233,
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          30.702691,
          30.393939
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 31.285,
        "volume": 67,
        "typical_volume": 4184.8,
        "trend": 30.123357,
        "fair_value": 26.708142,
        "relative_strength": -3.027581,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.443293,
        "energy": 85.902042,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.236733,
          31.137449,
          30.798975,
          30.472904
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 31.2452,
        "volume": 1876,
        "typical_volume": 3660.85,
        "trend": 30.17653,
        "fair_value": 26.765194,
        "relative_strength": -2.471826,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.390924,
        "energy": 84.896148,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.258587,
          31.170236,
          30.883744,
          30.545281
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 31.4543,
        "volume": 4028,
        "typical_volume": 3654.8,
        "trend": 30.240837,
        "fair_value": 26.823975,
        "relative_strength": -2.74301,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.024449,
        "energy": 86.71367,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.343913,
          31.233133,
          30.979414,
          30.627718
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 31.7749,
        "volume": 1916,
        "typical_volume": 3683.75,
        "trend": 30.308007,
        "fair_value": 26.884487,
        "relative_strength": -4.921997,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.8853,
        "energy": 86.059894,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.494487,
          31.345224,
          31.094469,
          30.72669
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}