{ "ticker": { "uuid": "186422a1-eef8-4c9e-8f63-d3e48b859c9b", "symbol": "DOHL4", "name": "D\u00f6hler S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 93.573, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.311, "architecture_energy": 14.352, "architecture_maturity": 19.148, "architecture_confidence": 72.078, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.99, "rotation_up": 35.88, "upward_expansion": 61.71, "deceleration": 79.15, "rotation_down": 20.62, "downward_expansion": 11.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.776, 3.783091, 3.750597, 3.73712 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.75, "trend_reference": 3.736987, "distance_from_trend": 0.003482, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.213411, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.109985, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.099649, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.007195, "excess_performance": 0.064244, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.003482, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006517, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.109985, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066123, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.040996, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.166324, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.007195, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.889493, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24700, "relative_activity": 1.889101, "balance": 1.889493, "dry_up": 1.506692, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055385, "annualized_volatility": 0.285248, "from_high_reference": -0.117237, "from_low_reference": 0.171875 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.736987, "fair_value_reference": 4.213411, "structural_low": 3.2, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.032433, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.111111, "median_excess_return": -0.050216, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.041818, "worst_return": -0.0675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.024286, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.073244, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.003584, "worst_return": -0.097382, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.0275, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.150651, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.012545, "worst_return": -0.155296, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 3.802, 3.779273, 3.73051, 3.72805 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.84, "volume": 7100, "typical_volume": 9905.0, "trend": 3.730913, "fair_value": 4.235852, "relative_strength": -4.006187, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.220718, "energy": 34.123412, "activity_lines": [ 3.816667, 3.796727, 3.743494, 3.735445 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.74, "volume": 42900, "typical_volume": 12050.0, "trend": 3.733123, "fair_value": 4.225391, "relative_strength": -7.898903, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.669334, "energy": 23.741232, "activity_lines": [ 3.793333, 3.788545, 3.746539, 3.736031 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.75, "volume": 24700, "typical_volume": 13075.0, "trend": 3.736987, "fair_value": 4.213411, "relative_strength": -4.099649, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.311319, "energy": 14.352153, "activity_lines": [ 3.776, 3.783091, 3.750597, 3.73712 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }