{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "18670e8f-bb69-43bf-8ba6-4266610785a1",
    "symbol": "ILCV",
    "name": "ISHARES TRUST MORNINGSTAR VALUE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 91.087,
    "architecture_energy": 92.531,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.257,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.243,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.68,
        "rotation_up": 80.39,
        "upward_expansion": 96.35,
        "deceleration": 42.6,
        "rotation_down": 13.44,
        "downward_expansion": 20.68
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        105.373153,
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        102.323478,
        100.567054
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 107.5957,
    "trend_reference": 98.646937,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.090715,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 81.078428,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.327057,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.962,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.104929,
    "excess_performance": -0.020696,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090715,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034919,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.327057,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046738,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00962,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023207,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104929,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.36676,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 149519,
      "relative_activity": 0.987717,
      "balance": 2.36676,
      "dry_up": 0.755856,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016424,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.097961,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004297,
      "from_low_reference": 0.291971
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 98.646937,
      "fair_value_reference": 81.078428,
      "structural_low": 90.704758,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
        "median_return": 0.013232,
        "positive_rate": 0.674419,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.674419,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002595,
        "regime_survival": 0.767442,
        "best_return": 0.063291,
        "worst_return": -0.066596,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "positive_rate": 0.8125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8125,
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        "worst_return": -0.032476,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001138,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.064063,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.025715,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -0.245566,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 0.905314,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 178326.75,
        "trend": 96.915064,
        "fair_value": 79.773999,
        "relative_strength": 0.948581,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 80.034059,
        "relative_strength": 0.003902,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 171190.8,
        "trend": 97.57774,
        "fair_value": 80.287935,
        "relative_strength": 1.738333,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.064877,
        "energy": 85.897568,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 103.3548,
        "volume": 98003,
        "typical_volume": 158888.95,
        "trend": 97.871913,
        "fair_value": 80.533895,
        "relative_strength": 1.701803,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.380412,
        "energy": 81.79683,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 105.27,
        "volume": 84276,
        "typical_volume": 151009.2,
        "trend": 98.250437,
        "fair_value": 80.799188,
        "relative_strength": 2.341911,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.267186,
        "energy": 88.49913,
        "activity_lines": [
          104.132387,
          103.18103,
          101.551784,
          99.964133
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 107.5957,
        "volume": 149519,
        "typical_volume": 151378.45,
        "trend": 98.646937,
        "fair_value": 81.078428,
        "relative_strength": 0.962,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.086874,
        "energy": 92.530714,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}