{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1867cc78-280a-496e-a6f6-b80c18674001", "symbol": "GLD", "name": "SPDR Gold Shares", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.555, "architecture_energy": 49.348, "architecture_maturity": 71.544, "architecture_confidence": 64.66, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.85, "rotation_up": 26.92, "upward_expansion": 20.18, "deceleration": 66.95, "rotation_down": 48.22, "downward_expansion": 72.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 6616.771321, 6601.21907, 6818.391841, 7055.48622 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6831.319824, "trend_reference": 7342.08431, "distance_from_trend": -0.069567, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5286.902619, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.292121, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.363831, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.128658, "excess_performance": -0.073991, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.069567, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021117, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.292121, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.207408, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.053638, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04285, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.128658, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.643237, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7686, "relative_activity": 1.51402, "balance": 0.643237, "dry_up": 1.495011, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037457, "annualized_volatility": 0.22771, "from_high_reference": -0.216771, "from_low_reference": 0.195332 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7342.08431, "fair_value_reference": 5286.902619, 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"gate": "down", "direction": -66.579847, "energy": 64.417064, "activity_lines": [ 6550.32806, 6624.159464, 6910.587335, 7150.1181 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6450.0, "volume": 2687, "typical_volume": 5737.4, "trend": 7362.640316, "fair_value": 5262.444159, "relative_strength": -10.609969, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.112168, "energy": 65.963618, "activity_lines": [ 6517.329394, 6571.469283, 6841.969859, 7089.764961 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6831.319824, "volume": 7686, "typical_volume": 5076.55, "trend": 7342.08431, "fair_value": 5286.902619, "relative_strength": -5.363831, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.55522, "energy": 49.347786, "activity_lines": [ 6616.771321, 6601.21907, 6818.391841, 7055.48622 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }