{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "18831b67-d957-4d9f-9468-cf265e3c4daa",
    "symbol": "PION-B",
    "name": "PION Group AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 72.944,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 58.219,
    "architecture_energy": 57.775,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.175,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.819,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.27,
        "rotation_up": 63.82,
        "upward_expansion": 85.76,
        "deceleration": 45.89,
        "rotation_down": 12.0,
        "downward_expansion": 12.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.86,
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        5.576238,
        5.459204
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 5.9,
    "trend_reference": 5.353,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.102186,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.059648,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.026346,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.316706,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.061151,
    "excess_performance": -0.000343,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102186,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015043,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026346,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105448,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043167,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073813,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061151,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.919332,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 101845,
      "relative_activity": 2.129742,
      "balance": 0.919332,
      "dry_up": 0.939762,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.08631,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.222,
      "from_high_reference": -0.080997,
      "from_low_reference": 0.282609
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 6.059648,
      "structural_low": 4.6,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.011563,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004171,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.184979,
        "sufficient": true
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        "sufficient": true
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        "energy": 17.466924,
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          5.11,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 87823.35,
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        "fair_value": 6.213219,
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        "energy": 14.593487,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 85602.4,
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        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 16.86147,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "stage": 1,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 5.273667,
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        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 57.717604,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 1,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -11.429699,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.447497,
        "energy": 15.855,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.401333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 6.099526,
        "relative_strength": -11.79244,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 16.358705,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 35921,
        "typical_volume": 58281.95,
        "trend": 5.290333,
        "fair_value": 6.086906,
        "relative_strength": -10.196211,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.405562,
        "energy": 14.612288,
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          5.396,
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          5.372238,
          5.321183
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 5.62,
        "volume": 20096,
        "typical_volume": 49814.65,
        "trend": 5.301,
        "fair_value": 6.076806,
        "relative_strength": -5.680378,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.509022,
        "energy": 17.486258,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.476,
          5.486545,
          5.406762,
          5.342452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5.78,
        "volume": 18322,
        "typical_volume": 45634.8,
        "trend": 5.319667,
        "fair_value": 6.069094,
        "relative_strength": -3.966622,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.477098,
        "energy": 32.33408,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.594667,
          5.531273,
          5.453381,
          5.373355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.1,
        "volume": 39496,
        "typical_volume": 43045.3,
        "trend": 5.349667,
        "fair_value": 6.063929,
        "relative_strength": 0.40854,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.2406,
        "energy": 52.008642,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.785333,
          5.630909,
          5.527143,
          5.423699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.9,
        "volume": 101845,
        "typical_volume": 47820.35,
        "trend": 5.353,
        "fair_value": 6.059648,
        "relative_strength": -4.316706,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.219289,
        "energy": 57.774823,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.86,
          5.689455,
          5.576238,
          5.459204
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}