{ "ticker": { "uuid": "188863d1-334d-4659-83f9-e906a1db73e0", "symbol": "EVEREADY", "name": "Eveready Industries India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.056, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.015, "architecture_energy": 24.872, "architecture_maturity": 44.638, "architecture_confidence": 80.984, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.55, "rotation_up": 33.63, "upward_expansion": 65.08, "deceleration": 84.43, "rotation_down": 26.36, "downward_expansion": 15.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 350.014142, 353.132108, 343.628922, 335.434584 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 356.799988, "trend_reference": 328.74636, "distance_from_trend": 0.085335, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 357.578381, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.002177, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.512759, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.04358, "excess_performance": 0.087289, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085335, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021084, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.002177, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069398, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.035128, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052087, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.04358, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.087718, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 675531, "relative_activity": 1.169015, "balance": 1.087718, "dry_up": 1.122585, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059132, "annualized_volatility": 0.295596, "from_high_reference": -0.249158, "from_low_reference": 0.374158 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 328.74636, "fair_value_reference": 357.578381, "structural_low": 259.649994, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.035606, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.05449, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.034618, "worst_return": -0.14346, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.097148, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.11848, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.090069, "worst_return": -0.146761, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.152908, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.198572, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.049969, "worst_return": -0.359482, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.163959, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.142164, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.055977, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.070459, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.1306, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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357.53591, "relative_strength": 5.594692, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.797197, "energy": 39.051069, "activity_lines": [ 353.870253, 352.83105, 339.561028, 332.725105 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 340.439986, "volume": 331233, "typical_volume": 565727.6, "trend": 327.67636, "fair_value": 357.538959, "relative_strength": -0.782679, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.243316, "energy": 24.261936, "activity_lines": [ 348.41353, 351.676488, 340.898642, 333.55564 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 356.799988, "volume": 675531, "typical_volume": 577863.65, "trend": 328.74636, "fair_value": 357.578381, "relative_strength": 3.512759, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.014739, "energy": 24.871736, "activity_lines": [ 350.014142, 353.132108, 343.628922, 335.434584 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }