{ "ticker": { "uuid": "18896d4c-fee2-489a-9943-b426f65b1ec9", "symbol": "INDIGOPNTS", "name": "Indigo Paints Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 88.818, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.296, "architecture_energy": 75.944, "architecture_maturity": 15.175, "architecture_confidence": 91.707, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.92, "rotation_up": 69.3, "upward_expansion": 92.79, "deceleration": 43.54, "rotation_down": 16.92, "downward_expansion": 17.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 1091.93335, 1068.128197, 1020.734537, 980.893988 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1120.5, "trend_reference": 962.06334, "distance_from_trend": 0.164684, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1238.380805, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.095189, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.116386, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.110615, "excess_performance": 0.154325, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.164684, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051882, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.095189, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.140235, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.091164, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138771, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.110615, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.261563, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 241669, "relative_activity": 0.537358, "balance": 1.261563, "dry_up": 0.596196, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056829, "annualized_volatility": 0.335132, "from_high_reference": -0.167472, "from_low_reference": 0.582515 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 962.06334, "fair_value_reference": 1238.380805, "structural_low": 708.049988, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.006216, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.011689, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.055376, "worst_return": -0.108265, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.053933, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.139077, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.092521, "worst_return": -0.292999, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.227681, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.120001, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.033598, "worst_return": -0.243564, "sufficient": false }, { 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36.194241, "energy": 54.143456, "activity_lines": [ 1053.343343, 1035.404557, 986.491439, 961.482803 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1111.800049, "volume": 327129, "typical_volume": 507547.8, "trend": 964.723342, "fair_value": 1241.047575, "relative_strength": 9.021856, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.737004, "energy": 69.480267, "activity_lines": [ 1074.706689, 1051.960927, 1003.972395, 970.843881 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1120.5, "volume": 241669, "typical_volume": 449735.7, "trend": 962.06334, "fair_value": 1238.380805, "relative_strength": 9.116386, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.296331, "energy": 75.943779, "activity_lines": [ 1091.93335, 1068.128197, 1020.734537, 980.893988 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }